Race 4A

savin-hill-invite

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

35.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Alex Lech 10.7% 12.8% 11.2% 10.4% 9.5% 10.8% 8.8% 6.1% 6.8% 4.9% 3.7% 2.1% 1.6% 0.6%
Calvin Schmid 7.2% 9.7% 9.3% 8.3% 8.1% 9.2% 8.6% 9.4% 9.6% 7.0% 5.5% 5.0% 2.2% 0.9%
Gus Macaulay 6.7% 7.8% 8.9% 8.0% 7.7% 6.8% 9.1% 9.2% 8.4% 8.2% 9.7% 4.4% 3.8% 1.3%
Enzo Menditto 14.5% 15.0% 11.7% 12.6% 12.0% 7.9% 8.0% 6.1% 5.3% 3.6% 1.5% 1.1% 0.6% 0.1%
Carter Anderson 2.5% 2.1% 4.2% 3.0% 3.6% 6.2% 5.4% 6.5% 5.6% 8.5% 10.8% 13.7% 18.0% 9.9%
Connor McHugh 8.2% 6.8% 7.1% 10.3% 8.6% 10.0% 8.3% 8.2% 7.0% 8.6% 7.2% 5.5% 3.5% 0.7%
Tyler Lamm 20.1% 17.2% 13.7% 12.7% 10.9% 7.3% 7.6% 4.6% 2.6% 1.7% 0.8% 0.7% 0.0% 0.1%
Elliott Mendenhall 5.0% 4.7% 6.6% 5.3% 5.5% 6.7% 6.8% 8.2% 8.4% 9.6% 8.4% 10.6% 9.6% 4.6%
Caylin Schnoor 4.2% 2.8% 3.6% 3.8% 4.4% 4.2% 6.0% 7.3% 8.6% 8.7% 12.6% 13.5% 13.9% 6.4%
William Kulas 7.6% 8.1% 9.2% 9.7% 10.2% 9.3% 8.0% 8.9% 9.0% 7.3% 6.3% 3.7% 2.4% 0.3%
Olivia Lowthian 4.8% 4.7% 4.7% 5.2% 7.7% 7.3% 7.3% 8.1% 9.0% 10.0% 9.2% 10.9% 7.1% 4.0%
Sidney Moyer 4.3% 4.4% 5.4% 5.4% 6.3% 7.1% 9.7% 7.9% 9.2% 9.6% 8.7% 9.2% 9.2% 3.6%
Kiana Beachy 3.5% 3.3% 4.0% 4.0% 4.0% 5.8% 4.4% 8.0% 7.9% 8.9% 11.6% 12.1% 15.2% 7.3%
Greta Shuster 0.7% 0.6% 0.4% 1.3% 1.5% 1.4% 2.0% 1.5% 2.6% 3.4% 4.0% 7.5% 12.9% 60.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.