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📊 Prediction Accuracy
21.1%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University3.23+8.75vs Predicted
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2College of Charleston3.95+4.70vs Predicted
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3St. Mary's College of Maryland3.30+6.50vs Predicted
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4U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.42+4.92vs Predicted
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5University of South Florida3.49+3.87vs Predicted
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6Dartmouth College3.49+2.54vs Predicted
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7SUNY Maritime College3.60+1.12vs Predicted
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8University of Wisconsin3.36+1.42vs Predicted
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9Yale University4.10-3.01vs Predicted
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10Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.87-3.15vs Predicted
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11Columbia University2.13+3.32vs Predicted
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12Roger Williams University3.07-1.25vs Predicted
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13Old Dominion University3.30-3.84vs Predicted
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14Cornell University2.48-0.91vs Predicted
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15University of Vermont2.74-3.29vs Predicted
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16Eckerd College2.78-4.43vs Predicted
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17Georgetown University3.44-8.20vs Predicted
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18Washington College2.29-4.36vs Predicted
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19Fordham University2.04-4.72vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.75Brown University3.230.0%1st Place
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6.7College of Charleston3.950.1%1st Place
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9.5St. Mary's College of Maryland3.300.1%1st Place
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8.92U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.420.1%1st Place
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8.87University of South Florida3.490.0%1st Place
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8.54Dartmouth College3.490.1%1st Place
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8.12SUNY Maritime College3.600.1%1st Place
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9.42University of Wisconsin3.360.1%1st Place
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5.99Yale University4.100.1%1st Place
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6.85Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.870.1%1st Place
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14.32Columbia University2.130.0%1st Place
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10.75Roger Williams University3.070.0%1st Place
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9.16Old Dominion University3.300.1%1st Place
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13.09Cornell University2.480.0%1st Place
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11.71University of Vermont2.740.0%1st Place
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11.57Eckerd College2.780.0%1st Place
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8.8Georgetown University3.440.1%1st Place
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13.64Washington College2.290.0%1st Place
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14.28Fordham University2.040.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyler Rice | 4.0% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 2.8% |
| Ben Spector | 11.1% | 8.3% | 9.6% | 9.5% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Jacob La Dow | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 2.1% |
| Gary Herring | 5.4% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 2.0% | 1.0% |
| Will Stocke | 4.9% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 1.7% | 0.5% |
| Scott Houck | 6.9% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 1.3% |
| Harry Scott | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 0.5% |
| George Kutschenreuter | 5.6% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 1.3% |
| Morgan Kiss | 12.4% | 11.6% | 9.3% | 10.6% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Johnny Norfleet | 8.5% | 9.9% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 9.6% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| David Coplon | 1.8% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 9.9% | 16.9% | 19.6% |
| George Saunders | 4.2% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 2.8% |
| Scott Hoffmann | 5.6% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 2.7% | 1.5% |
| Alden Sonnenfeldt | 2.7% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 11.0% | 11.4% | 12.0% |
| Hunter Mumma | 3.1% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 9.0% |
| Robert Savoie | 2.9% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 5.7% |
| Matthew Gowell | 5.2% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 1.4% | 1.0% |
| Mildred Conroy | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 8.5% | 10.6% | 12.7% | 16.1% |
| Alex Reynolds | 1.9% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 7.8% | 9.9% | 15.1% | 22.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.