Race 5A

savin-hill-invite

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

57.1%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Calvin Schmid 7.1% 7.6% 10.3% 9.2% 8.1% 8.5% 9.0% 10.2% 8.0% 6.1% 7.2% 4.0% 3.2% 1.5%
Elliott Mendenhall 4.6% 5.5% 6.9% 4.6% 7.9% 6.3% 6.3% 7.1% 9.3% 9.9% 9.8% 10.4% 7.8% 3.6%
Enzo Menditto 16.5% 14.7% 11.6% 11.7% 10.2% 9.6% 8.8% 5.4% 4.6% 3.6% 1.9% 0.6% 0.7% 0.1%
Alex Lech 10.8% 10.5% 9.8% 12.9% 9.5% 10.0% 8.8% 7.0% 6.5% 5.8% 4.3% 2.4% 1.5% 0.2%
Connor McHugh 6.6% 7.6% 7.9% 9.6% 10.0% 8.6% 9.4% 8.0% 8.4% 6.6% 7.4% 4.8% 4.2% 0.9%
Tyler Lamm 18.0% 17.1% 13.5% 11.6% 10.4% 8.6% 7.0% 5.8% 3.6% 2.2% 1.4% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
Sidney Moyer 5.2% 6.1% 6.5% 6.1% 5.5% 5.9% 8.6% 8.3% 8.4% 8.7% 9.5% 11.1% 7.6% 2.5%
William Kulas 9.1% 9.7% 9.0% 8.2% 9.0% 10.6% 9.3% 7.6% 6.8% 6.8% 5.9% 5.0% 2.2% 0.8%
Kiana Beachy 3.9% 2.7% 3.3% 4.3% 3.5% 4.2% 5.4% 7.9% 7.9% 9.1% 10.6% 14.3% 15.2% 7.7%
Gus Macaulay 6.5% 6.6% 8.1% 8.3% 9.2% 7.1% 9.6% 8.6% 8.1% 8.4% 7.7% 6.5% 3.9% 1.4%
Olivia Lowthian 5.0% 4.7% 4.0% 5.8% 7.1% 8.2% 6.5% 8.4% 9.4% 10.0% 9.5% 8.6% 8.9% 3.9%
Caylin Schnoor 3.1% 3.0% 4.6% 3.1% 5.0% 5.9% 5.6% 7.0% 9.0% 10.1% 9.9% 10.7% 14.9% 8.1%
Carter Anderson 3.0% 3.4% 3.5% 3.9% 3.5% 4.7% 4.5% 6.4% 8.4% 8.8% 9.7% 13.4% 17.7% 9.1%
Greta Shuster 0.6% 0.8% 1.0% 0.7% 1.1% 1.8% 1.2% 2.3% 1.6% 3.9% 5.2% 7.5% 12.1% 60.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.