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📊 Prediction Accuracy
42.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University1.74+4.08vs Predicted
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2Georgetown University2.44+1.28vs Predicted
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3Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.44+3.01vs Predicted
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4Brown University1.14+2.98vs Predicted
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5Boston College1.30+1.54vs Predicted
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6Northeastern University0.12+4.04vs Predicted
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7Brown University1.04-0.05vs Predicted
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8Boston University0.16+1.68vs Predicted
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9Webb Institute1.54-3.20vs Predicted
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10Roger Williams University0.64-1.46vs Predicted
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11Salve Regina University0.62-2.41vs Predicted
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12Roger Williams University1.29-5.53vs Predicted
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13Tufts University0.86-5.33vs Predicted
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14Bates College-1.99-0.64vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.08Tufts University1.740.1%1st Place
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3.28Georgetown University2.440.3%1st Place
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6.01Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.440.1%1st Place
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6.98Brown University1.140.1%1st Place
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6.54Boston College1.300.1%1st Place
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10.04Northeastern University0.120.0%1st Place
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6.95Brown University1.040.1%1st Place
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9.68Boston University0.160.0%1st Place
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5.8Webb Institute1.540.1%1st Place
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8.54Roger Williams University0.640.0%1st Place
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8.59Salve Regina University0.620.0%1st Place
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6.47Roger Williams University1.290.1%1st Place
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7.67Tufts University0.860.1%1st Place
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13.36Bates College-1.990.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Devon Owen | 12.0% | 12.9% | 12.8% | 11.2% | 10.6% | 8.5% | 9.3% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Peter Barnard | 26.9% | 19.1% | 16.9% | 11.9% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 4.1% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Karya Basaraner | 8.4% | 10.5% | 8.6% | 9.7% | 9.2% | 9.3% | 10.0% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 3.6% | 1.4% | 0.1% |
| Gabby Collins | 5.2% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 8.9% | 8.4% | 9.4% | 9.9% | 9.1% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 6.5% | 4.0% | 0.5% |
| Rogelio Casellas | 6.3% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 9.9% | 8.9% | 9.5% | 8.7% | 8.7% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 2.2% | 0.3% |
| Sylvia Burns | 2.1% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 9.7% | 10.6% | 13.9% | 25.5% | 6.6% |
| Grace Ivancich | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 10.0% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 3.2% | 0.7% |
| Richard Kalich | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 11.4% | 15.2% | 20.8% | 6.6% |
| Everett Botwinick | 8.8% | 9.2% | 10.2% | 10.0% | 10.6% | 11.6% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 2.9% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Jancy Grayson | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 11.1% | 11.7% | 12.2% | 10.4% | 2.1% |
| Emil Tullberg | 4.1% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 9.7% | 12.1% | 12.3% | 11.9% | 1.9% |
| Jakub Fuja | 7.4% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 9.4% | 10.4% | 10.0% | 7.8% | 9.4% | 9.0% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 0.2% |
| Maria Skouloudi | 5.3% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 9.8% | 10.5% | 9.1% | 6.3% | 1.2% |
| Colin Kenny | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 4.3% | 8.3% | 79.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.