Race 5B

savin-hill-invite

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

42.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Peter Barnard 25.3% 21.1% 14.7% 11.4% 7.8% 7.2% 4.5% 3.7% 2.0% 0.8% 0.7% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
Rogelio Casellas 7.7% 9.7% 9.1% 8.2% 9.3% 8.5% 8.9% 9.5% 9.8% 7.5% 5.2% 3.6% 2.8% 0.2%
Everett Botwinick 9.0% 10.9% 10.4% 11.0% 9.1% 10.0% 7.7% 9.0% 7.3% 6.3% 4.7% 3.4% 1.1% 0.1%
Jakub Fuja 5.9% 9.2% 8.9% 9.2% 9.4% 8.1% 9.7% 8.1% 8.9% 7.9% 7.6% 4.6% 2.2% 0.3%
Richard Kalich 1.8% 2.1% 2.8% 3.9% 3.6% 4.8% 5.9% 5.9% 5.6% 8.7% 11.8% 14.8% 22.0% 6.3%
Grace Ivancich 6.3% 5.1% 6.3% 7.0% 8.0% 8.4% 9.1% 9.6% 8.4% 8.0% 9.2% 7.2% 6.4% 1.0%
Maria Skouloudi 6.6% 4.9% 6.8% 6.1% 6.2% 6.9% 9.2% 8.8% 7.6% 10.9% 9.1% 9.8% 6.2% 0.9%
Emil Tullberg 4.7% 4.3% 4.7% 4.4% 6.2% 5.9% 6.5% 7.7% 8.6% 8.1% 11.4% 12.7% 12.0% 2.8%
Gabby Collins 6.8% 5.2% 6.9% 7.9% 8.4% 9.4% 8.6% 9.4% 9.1% 9.8% 7.7% 7.3% 2.7% 0.8%
Devon Owen 10.9% 11.3% 13.4% 12.3% 10.4% 9.8% 9.0% 5.7% 7.5% 5.1% 2.9% 0.3% 1.3% 0.1%
Sylvia Burns 2.0% 2.3% 2.5% 2.9% 3.6% 4.2% 4.4% 6.1% 7.0% 8.0% 10.6% 16.3% 24.2% 5.9%
Karya Basaraner 8.5% 8.9% 8.6% 9.6% 10.9% 10.6% 9.5% 7.7% 7.8% 7.0% 4.9% 3.5% 2.4% 0.1%
Colin Kenny 0.5% 0.5% 0.6% 0.0% 0.5% 0.2% 0.4% 1.4% 1.1% 1.4% 2.1% 3.8% 7.7% 79.8%
Jancy Grayson 4.0% 4.5% 4.3% 6.1% 6.6% 6.0% 6.6% 7.4% 9.3% 10.5% 12.1% 12.0% 8.9% 1.7%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.