← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
37.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
24
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of California at Santa Cruz1.35+1.66vs Predicted
-
2University of California at Santa Barbara0.67+2.16vs Predicted
-
4University of California at Santa Cruz0.12+1.56vs Predicted
-
5University of California at San Diego-0.71+3.87vs Predicted
-
6Arizona State University-1.08+4.13vs Predicted
-
7University of California at Santa Cruz-0.59+1.26vs Predicted
-
8University of California at San Diego-1.46+4.03vs Predicted
-
9University of California at Santa Cruz-1.27+2.18vs Predicted
-
10University of California at Berkeley-0.32-3.17vs Predicted
-
11San Diego State University-1.64+1.78vs Predicted
-
12San Diego State University-1.67+1.06vs Predicted
-
13Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.48-0.96vs Predicted
-
14Arizona State University-1.16-3.19vs Predicted
-
15Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.54-2.84vs Predicted
-
16Arizona State University-2.45+0.57vs Predicted
-
17University of California at Berkeley-1.60-4.34vs Predicted
-
18University of California at Santa Cruz-1.75-4.82vs Predicted
-
19University of California at Irvine-1.70-5.79vs Predicted
-
20University of California at Irvine-2.27-4.74vs Predicted
-
21University of California at Los Angeles-2.87-3.22vs Predicted
-
22University of California at Davis-3.43-1.91vs Predicted
-
23University of California at Davis-4.02-1.55vs Predicted
-
24University of California at Davis-2.88-6.09vs Predicted
-
25University of California at Los Angeles-3.96-3.65vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
2.66University of California at Santa Cruz1.350.3%1st Place
-
4.16University of California at Santa Barbara0.670.1%1st Place
-
5.56University of California at Santa Cruz0.120.1%1st Place
-
8.87University of California at San Diego-0.710.0%1st Place
-
10.13Arizona State University-1.080.0%1st Place
-
8.26University of California at Santa Cruz-0.590.0%1st Place
-
12.03University of California at San Diego-1.460.0%1st Place
-
11.18University of California at Santa Cruz-1.270.0%1st Place
-
6.83University of California at Berkeley-0.320.1%1st Place
-
12.78San Diego State University-1.640.0%1st Place
-
13.06San Diego State University-1.670.0%1st Place
-
12.04Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.480.0%1st Place
-
10.81Arizona State University-1.160.0%1st Place
-
12.16Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.540.0%1st Place
-
16.57Arizona State University-2.450.0%1st Place
-
12.66University of California at Berkeley-1.600.0%1st Place
-
13.18University of California at Santa Cruz-1.750.0%1st Place
-
13.21University of California at Irvine-1.700.0%1st Place
-
15.26University of California at Irvine-2.270.0%1st Place
-
17.78University of California at Los Angeles-2.870.0%1st Place
-
20.09University of California at Davis-3.430.0%1st Place
-
21.45University of California at Davis-4.020.0%1st Place
-
17.91University of California at Davis-2.880.0%1st Place
-
21.35University of California at Los Angeles-3.960.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brian Fitzsimmons | 34.4% | 22.7% | 16.2% | 12.1% | 7.1% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Evelyn Engebretson | 14.4% | 18.1% | 16.4% | 13.5% | 9.9% | 9.2% | 7.3% | 4.3% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Conor Kim | 9.3% | 9.9% | 12.0% | 10.6% | 12.2% | 10.5% | 9.7% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Skyler Chaffey | 4.1% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Austin Teodorovic | 2.4% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Caden Domingo | 4.7% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alex Bussey | 2.1% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 4.1% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 2.9% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Nolan Whitehill | 2.8% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Annika Baumgartner | 5.6% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 9.5% | 10.6% | 9.3% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sophia Cerretti | 1.8% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 3.3% | 2.0% | 0.6% | 0.4% |
| Juan Alcala | 2.2% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Annika Burns | 2.2% | 2.1% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 2.6% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Down | 2.7% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Bennett Alger | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 2.3% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Mason Norwood | 0.9% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 8.1% | 9.3% | 10.1% | 11.4% | 10.5% | 4.7% | 1.4% |
| Bianca Weber | 1.0% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 3.2% | 1.5% | 0.2% | 0.2% |
| Fletcher Steinberg | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 5.7% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 8.2% | 4.8% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 2.7% | 1.4% | 0.3% |
| Nejan Gunawardena | 2.2% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 3.1% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 0.3% |
| Spencer Eldridge | 1.4% | 0.9% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 9.8% | 9.5% | 5.6% | 3.3% | 1.1% |
| Ashley Ragon | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 9.1% | 13.3% | 12.2% | 10.6% | 5.6% |
| Tristan Meyer | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 10.7% | 16.9% | 21.5% | 14.0% |
| James Carney | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 6.8% | 12.9% | 20.0% | 38.1% |
| Nicholas Conti | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 11.4% | 14.6% | 11.4% | 5.3% |
| Sophie Nuckowski | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 5.2% | 9.1% | 12.8% | 22.9% | 33.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.