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📊 Prediction Accuracy
10.5%
Within 2 Positions
4.5
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston3.95+5.73vs Predicted
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2U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.42+7.00vs Predicted
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3Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.87+4.07vs Predicted
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4University of South Florida3.49+4.62vs Predicted
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5University of Wisconsin3.36+4.39vs Predicted
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6Dartmouth College3.49+2.57vs Predicted
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7Brown University3.23+2.79vs Predicted
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8Columbia University2.13+6.41vs Predicted
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9Roger Williams University3.07+1.24vs Predicted
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10Washington College2.29+3.62vs Predicted
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11Yale University4.10-4.90vs Predicted
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12Eckerd College2.78+0.10vs Predicted
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13Georgetown University3.44-4.38vs Predicted
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14SUNY Maritime College3.60-5.70vs Predicted
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15University of Vermont2.74-3.30vs Predicted
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16St. Mary's College of Maryland3.30-6.67vs Predicted
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17Cornell University2.48-4.13vs Predicted
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18Fordham University2.04-3.46vs Predicted
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19Old Dominion University3.30-10.00vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.73College of Charleston3.950.1%1st Place
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9.0U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.420.1%1st Place
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7.07Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.870.1%1st Place
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8.62University of South Florida3.490.1%1st Place
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9.39University of Wisconsin3.360.0%1st Place
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8.57Dartmouth College3.490.1%1st Place
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9.79Brown University3.230.1%1st Place
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14.41Columbia University2.130.0%1st Place
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10.24Roger Williams University3.070.0%1st Place
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13.62Washington College2.290.0%1st Place
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6.1Yale University4.100.1%1st Place
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12.1Eckerd College2.780.0%1st Place
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8.62Georgetown University3.440.1%1st Place
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8.3SUNY Maritime College3.600.1%1st Place
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11.7University of Vermont2.740.0%1st Place
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9.33St. Mary's College of Maryland3.300.0%1st Place
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12.87Cornell University2.480.0%1st Place
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14.54Fordham University2.040.0%1st Place
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9.0Old Dominion University3.300.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ben Spector | 8.7% | 9.9% | 9.5% | 9.4% | 8.5% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Gary Herring | 5.6% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 3.8% | 2.2% | 0.8% |
| Johnny Norfleet | 9.8% | 10.3% | 6.7% | 9.1% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 4.6% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Will Stocke | 6.2% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 1.6% | 0.7% |
| George Kutschenreuter | 4.2% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 8.3% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 2.8% | 0.8% |
| Scott Houck | 7.6% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 2.3% | 1.1% |
| Tyler Rice | 5.2% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 8.1% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 1.7% |
| David Coplon | 1.9% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 5.8% | 9.1% | 9.7% | 15.2% | 23.1% |
| George Saunders | 4.6% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 4.3% | 2.8% |
| Mildred Conroy | 2.0% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 9.7% | 15.2% | 15.1% |
| Morgan Kiss | 10.9% | 10.8% | 10.2% | 9.9% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Robert Savoie | 2.4% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 9.3% | 7.4% | 7.0% |
| Matthew Gowell | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 7.6% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 0.9% |
| Harry Scott | 6.4% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 0.9% | 0.6% |
| Hunter Mumma | 3.4% | 2.8% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 8.3% | 9.7% | 8.5% | 7.6% |
| Jacob La Dow | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 1.3% |
| Alden Sonnenfeldt | 2.2% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 8.7% | 12.9% | 11.6% |
| Alex Reynolds | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 10.4% | 14.1% | 23.5% |
| Scott Hoffmann | 6.6% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 1.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.