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📊 Prediction Accuracy
54.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
24
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Santa Cruz1.35+1.75vs Predicted
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3University of California at Santa Barbara0.67+1.28vs Predicted
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4University of California at Santa Cruz0.12+1.75vs Predicted
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5University of California at San Diego0.18+0.70vs Predicted
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6Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.48+5.90vs Predicted
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7University of California at Berkeley-0.32+0.39vs Predicted
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8University of California at Irvine-1.70+5.08vs Predicted
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9San Diego State University-1.64+3.76vs Predicted
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10University of California at Santa Cruz-0.59-2.00vs Predicted
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11Arizona State University-1.08-0.67vs Predicted
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12University of California at Berkeley-1.60+0.73vs Predicted
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13University of California at San Diego-1.46-1.04vs Predicted
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14Arizona State University-1.16-3.20vs Predicted
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15University of California at Santa Cruz-1.75-1.87vs Predicted
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16Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.54-3.55vs Predicted
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17University of California at Irvine-3.18+2.04vs Predicted
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18University of California at Los Angeles-2.87-0.31vs Predicted
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19University of California at Santa Cruz-1.27-7.81vs Predicted
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20San Diego State University-1.67-7.42vs Predicted
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21University of California at Los Angeles-3.96+0.08vs Predicted
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22University of California at Davis-3.43-2.05vs Predicted
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23University of California at Davis-4.02-1.70vs Predicted
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24Arizona State University-2.45-7.83vs Predicted
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25University of California at Davis-2.88-7.02vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.75University of California at Santa Cruz1.350.3%1st Place
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4.28University of California at Santa Barbara0.670.1%1st Place
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5.75University of California at Santa Cruz0.120.1%1st Place
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5.7University of California at San Diego0.180.1%1st Place
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11.9Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.480.0%1st Place
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7.39University of California at Berkeley-0.320.1%1st Place
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13.08University of California at Irvine-1.700.0%1st Place
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12.76San Diego State University-1.640.0%1st Place
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8.0University of California at Santa Cruz-0.590.0%1st Place
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10.33Arizona State University-1.080.0%1st Place
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12.73University of California at Berkeley-1.600.0%1st Place
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11.96University of California at San Diego-1.460.0%1st Place
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10.8Arizona State University-1.160.0%1st Place
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13.13University of California at Santa Cruz-1.750.0%1st Place
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12.45Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.540.0%1st Place
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19.04University of California at Irvine-3.180.0%1st Place
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17.69University of California at Los Angeles-2.870.0%1st Place
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11.19University of California at Santa Cruz-1.270.0%1st Place
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12.58San Diego State University-1.670.0%1st Place
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21.08University of California at Los Angeles-3.960.0%1st Place
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19.95University of California at Davis-3.430.0%1st Place
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21.3University of California at Davis-4.020.0%1st Place
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16.17Arizona State University-2.450.0%1st Place
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17.98University of California at Davis-2.880.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brian Fitzsimmons | 32.3% | 22.8% | 15.7% | 12.5% | 8.6% | 3.7% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Evelyn Engebretson | 14.1% | 16.7% | 14.9% | 14.5% | 12.0% | 8.9% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Conor Kim | 8.9% | 9.4% | 9.8% | 11.8% | 11.3% | 9.7% | 12.2% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brendan O'Connor | 8.0% | 11.3% | 11.0% | 11.0% | 10.9% | 9.6% | 10.1% | 8.7% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Annika Burns | 1.1% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Annika Baumgartner | 6.3% | 5.8% | 8.7% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 9.5% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 9.1% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nejan Gunawardena | 1.4% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 0.4% | 0.4% |
| Sophia Cerretti | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 9.0% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Caden Domingo | 4.1% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Austin Teodorovic | 3.5% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Bianca Weber | 2.4% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Alex Bussey | 1.8% | 2.1% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 2.1% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 3.3% | 2.1% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Down | 2.4% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 9.1% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 2.7% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Fletcher Steinberg | 1.2% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 3.3% | 1.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Bennett Alger | 2.0% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 5.4% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Ian Galbraith | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 11.6% | 12.3% | 16.5% | 12.1% | 9.1% |
| Ashley Ragon | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 8.6% | 9.8% | 14.5% | 9.7% | 10.3% | 4.8% |
| Nolan Whitehill | 3.1% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 2.9% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Juan Alcala | 2.1% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 9.2% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Sophie Nuckowski | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 8.6% | 13.4% | 19.7% | 31.2% |
| Tristan Meyer | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 8.0% | 13.5% | 15.6% | 18.1% | 13.9% |
| James Carney | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 11.7% | 23.6% | 33.5% |
| Mason Norwood | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 9.0% | 9.8% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 4.0% | 2.0% |
| Nicholas Conti | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 8.6% | 11.0% | 12.0% | 13.2% | 9.6% | 4.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.