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📊 Prediction Accuracy
25.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
24
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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2University of California at Santa Barbara0.67+2.16vs Predicted
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3University of California at San Diego0.18+2.65vs Predicted
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4University of California at Santa Cruz1.35-1.21vs Predicted
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5University of California at Santa Cruz0.12+0.91vs Predicted
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6University of California at Santa Cruz-0.59+2.19vs Predicted
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7Arizona State University-1.08+3.39vs Predicted
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8University of California at Berkeley-0.32-0.68vs Predicted
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9Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.54+3.41vs Predicted
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10University of California at Santa Cruz-1.75+3.06vs Predicted
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11University of California at Los Angeles-2.87+6.77vs Predicted
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12Arizona State University-1.16-1.15vs Predicted
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13University of California at Irvine-1.70+0.10vs Predicted
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14San Diego State University-1.67-0.86vs Predicted
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15University of California at Berkeley-1.60-2.56vs Predicted
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16Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.48-3.78vs Predicted
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17University of California at Santa Cruz-1.27-5.89vs Predicted
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18University of California at San Diego-1.46-6.04vs Predicted
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19University of California at Davis-4.02+2.19vs Predicted
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20Arizona State University-2.45-4.08vs Predicted
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21San Diego State University-1.64-8.43vs Predicted
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22University of California at Davis-3.43-2.07vs Predicted
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23University of California at Davis-2.88-5.13vs Predicted
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24University of California at Irvine-3.18-5.24vs Predicted
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25University of California at Los Angeles-3.96-3.70vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.16University of California at Santa Barbara0.670.2%1st Place
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5.65University of California at San Diego0.180.1%1st Place
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2.79University of California at Santa Cruz1.350.3%1st Place
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5.91University of California at Santa Cruz0.120.1%1st Place
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8.19University of California at Santa Cruz-0.590.1%1st Place
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10.39Arizona State University-1.080.0%1st Place
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7.32University of California at Berkeley-0.320.1%1st Place
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12.41Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.540.0%1st Place
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13.06University of California at Santa Cruz-1.750.0%1st Place
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17.77University of California at Los Angeles-2.870.0%1st Place
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10.85Arizona State University-1.160.0%1st Place
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13.1University of California at Irvine-1.700.0%1st Place
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13.14San Diego State University-1.670.0%1st Place
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12.44University of California at Berkeley-1.600.0%1st Place
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12.22Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.480.0%1st Place
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11.11University of California at Santa Cruz-1.270.0%1st Place
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11.96University of California at San Diego-1.460.0%1st Place
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21.19University of California at Davis-4.020.0%1st Place
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15.92Arizona State University-2.450.0%1st Place
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12.57San Diego State University-1.640.0%1st Place
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19.93University of California at Davis-3.430.0%1st Place
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17.87University of California at Davis-2.880.0%1st Place
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18.76University of California at Irvine-3.180.0%1st Place
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21.3University of California at Los Angeles-3.960.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Evelyn Engebretson | 16.4% | 16.3% | 15.0% | 13.3% | 11.6% | 10.0% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brendan O'Connor | 8.4% | 10.9% | 11.0% | 10.6% | 12.3% | 10.9% | 9.6% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brian Fitzsimmons | 30.6% | 23.1% | 18.3% | 12.4% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Conor Kim | 8.7% | 10.5% | 9.2% | 10.7% | 8.6% | 11.7% | 10.1% | 9.1% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Caden Domingo | 5.0% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 9.3% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Austin Teodorovic | 2.4% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Annika Baumgartner | 5.3% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 9.4% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Bennett Alger | 2.2% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 3.8% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Fletcher Steinberg | 0.9% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Ashley Ragon | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 11.9% | 11.2% | 12.5% | 10.3% | 3.8% |
| Andrew Down | 2.6% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Nejan Gunawardena | 1.7% | 1.1% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Juan Alcala | 1.8% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Bianca Weber | 1.9% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 4.1% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Annika Burns | 2.1% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nolan Whitehill | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 9.4% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Alex Bussey | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 8.0% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| James Carney | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 8.2% | 13.2% | 18.5% | 36.7% |
| Mason Norwood | 1.3% | 0.5% | 1.2% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 8.6% | 12.4% | 9.5% | 6.9% | 4.4% | 1.1% |
| Sophia Cerretti | 1.6% | 1.2% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 0.2% | 0.2% |
| Tristan Meyer | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 11.7% | 16.5% | 19.6% | 12.7% |
| Nicholas Conti | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 9.2% | 10.9% | 14.3% | 11.7% | 8.7% | 4.0% |
| Ian Galbraith | 0.3% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 9.7% | 12.7% | 12.9% | 14.7% | 8.8% |
| Sophie Nuckowski | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 9.2% | 14.3% | 20.5% | 32.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.