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📊 Prediction Accuracy
28.0%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
25
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Santa Cruz0.76+1.68vs Predicted
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2University of California at Berkeley-1.55+8.83vs Predicted
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3University of California at Santa Cruz-1.17+6.09vs Predicted
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4University of California at Los Angeles-1.22+5.16vs Predicted
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5University of California at Santa Barbara-1.26+4.51vs Predicted
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6Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.54+4.87vs Predicted
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7University of California at Santa Cruz-1.87+5.79vs Predicted
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8Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.48-1.86vs Predicted
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9University of California at Davis-2.11+4.71vs Predicted
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10San Diego State University-1.45+0.60vs Predicted
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11Arizona State University-2.52+5.15vs Predicted
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12University of California at Berkeley-2.02+1.64vs Predicted
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13University of California at Santa Cruz-1.12-4.24vs Predicted
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14University of California at San Diego-2.34+1.12vs Predicted
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15University of California at San Diego-1.96-2.32vs Predicted
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16University of California at Davis-2.81+1.36vs Predicted
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17San Diego State University-1.53-6.16vs Predicted
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18Cal Poly University S.L.O.-2.73-0.85vs Predicted
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19University of California at Irvine-2.70-2.54vs Predicted
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20University of California at Santa Cruz-2.64-3.08vs Predicted
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21Arizona State University-2.61-4.01vs Predicted
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22University of California at Los Angeles-3.33-2.38vs Predicted
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23University of California at Davis-2.19-8.75vs Predicted
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24Arizona State University-3.22-4.63vs Predicted
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25University of California at Irvine-2.22-10.70vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.68University of California at Santa Cruz0.760.3%1st Place
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10.83University of California at Berkeley-1.550.0%1st Place
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9.09University of California at Santa Cruz-1.170.1%1st Place
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9.16University of California at Los Angeles-1.220.0%1st Place
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9.51University of California at Santa Barbara-1.260.0%1st Place
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10.87Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.540.0%1st Place
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12.79University of California at Santa Cruz-1.870.0%1st Place
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6.14Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.480.1%1st Place
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13.71University of California at Davis-2.110.0%1st Place
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10.6San Diego State University-1.450.0%1st Place
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16.15Arizona State University-2.520.0%1st Place
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13.64University of California at Berkeley-2.020.0%1st Place
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8.76University of California at Santa Cruz-1.120.1%1st Place
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15.12University of California at San Diego-2.340.0%1st Place
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12.68University of California at San Diego-1.960.0%1st Place
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17.36University of California at Davis-2.810.0%1st Place
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10.84San Diego State University-1.530.0%1st Place
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17.15Cal Poly University S.L.O.-2.730.0%1st Place
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16.46University of California at Irvine-2.700.0%1st Place
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16.92University of California at Santa Cruz-2.640.0%1st Place
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16.99Arizona State University-2.610.0%1st Place
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19.62University of California at Los Angeles-3.330.0%1st Place
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14.25University of California at Davis-2.190.0%1st Place
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19.37Arizona State University-3.220.0%1st Place
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14.3University of California at Irvine-2.220.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Buster Baylis | 34.5% | 25.4% | 14.7% | 10.0% | 6.5% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Connor Fagan | 3.5% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Brily Petersen | 5.5% | 4.2% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Rigel Mummers | 4.4% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 7.9% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 3.9% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Kestenbaum | 4.5% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 4.3% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Claire Wiley | 3.7% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| McQuaid Harkin-Goodrich | 2.3% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 0.8% |
| Parker Ziegler | 9.0% | 11.0% | 10.1% | 11.9% | 10.5% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Tony Gao | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 2.7% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 4.3% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 1.1% |
| julian stauffer | 3.8% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Prendiville | 1.2% | 1.1% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 4.8% |
| Marianna Maciel | 2.3% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 1.0% |
| Emilia McNabb | 5.0% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Liza Churkov | 0.8% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 3.9% | 3.2% |
| Adem Evecek | 2.3% | 2.3% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 1.3% |
| James Makler | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 8.9% | 7.7% | 10.3% | 8.8% |
| Marley Daniel | 4.2% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 3.1% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Paul Munsell | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 8.9% | 10.1% | 7.9% |
| Ryan Gedminas | 1.7% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 7.3% |
| Dakota Rutherford | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 2.5% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 6.7% |
| Christopher Moore | 0.8% | 1.1% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 1.8% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 7.8% |
| Felix Zhang | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 10.3% | 12.1% | 23.1% |
| Juliette Cramer | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 1.9% |
| Veja Zaprauskis | 0.3% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 10.1% | 11.9% | 21.5% |
| Matthew Stank | 1.9% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 2.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.