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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
22
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Southern California1.47+3.48vs Predicted
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2University of California at Santa Barbara0.97+3.93vs Predicted
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3California Poly Maritime Academy-0.07+7.22vs Predicted
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4California State University Channel Islands0.42+4.06vs Predicted
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5University of Southern California0.64+2.18vs Predicted
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6California Poly Maritime Academy0.33+2.35vs Predicted
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7San Diego State University1.23-2.04vs Predicted
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8University of California at Berkeley0.20+0.98vs Predicted
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9San Diego State University0.17+0.04vs Predicted
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10Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.06-0.17vs Predicted
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11University of California at Irvine-0.66+1.32vs Predicted
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12University of Southern California-0.27-1.15vs Predicted
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13Arizona State University-0.90+0.41vs Predicted
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14University of California at Davis-0.43-2.19vs Predicted
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15University of California at Los Angeles-1.74+1.72vs Predicted
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16Cal Poly University S.L.O.-2.14+1.55vs Predicted
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17University of California at Santa Cruz0.65-9.74vs Predicted
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18University of California at San Diego-1.13-3.80vs Predicted
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19California State University Channel Islands-2.08-1.57vs Predicted
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20University of California at Irvine-3.02-0.20vs Predicted
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21University of California at San Diego-2.91-1.56vs Predicted
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22University of California at Los Angeles-1.38-6.83vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.48University of Southern California1.470.2%1st Place
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5.93University of California at Santa Barbara0.970.1%1st Place
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10.22California Poly Maritime Academy-0.070.0%1st Place
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8.06California State University Channel Islands0.420.1%1st Place
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7.18University of Southern California0.640.1%1st Place
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8.35California Poly Maritime Academy0.330.1%1st Place
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4.96San Diego State University1.230.2%1st Place
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8.98University of California at Berkeley0.200.1%1st Place
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9.04San Diego State University0.170.0%1st Place
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9.83Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.060.0%1st Place
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12.32University of California at Irvine-0.660.0%1st Place
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10.85University of Southern California-0.270.0%1st Place
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13.41Arizona State University-0.900.0%1st Place
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11.81University of California at Davis-0.430.0%1st Place
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16.72University of California at Los Angeles-1.740.0%1st Place
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17.55Cal Poly University S.L.O.-2.140.0%1st Place
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7.26University of California at Santa Cruz0.650.1%1st Place
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14.2University of California at San Diego-1.130.0%1st Place
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17.43California State University Channel Islands-2.080.0%1st Place
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19.8University of California at Irvine-3.020.0%1st Place
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19.44University of California at San Diego-2.910.0%1st Place
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15.17University of California at Los Angeles-1.380.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luke Harris | 16.3% | 15.2% | 14.2% | 10.7% | 10.4% | 9.0% | 8.9% | 5.4% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Erisman | 10.3% | 11.5% | 11.1% | 9.2% | 9.5% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sam Jennings | 3.4% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 8.4% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 4.5% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Sterling Maggard | 5.3% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Morgana Manti | 8.8% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Owen Cuyler | 5.2% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Aston Smith | 15.5% | 13.6% | 12.2% | 11.7% | 9.1% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Wilton Lawton | 6.5% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 8.1% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Hopkins | 3.8% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Robert Bloomfield | 3.5% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nikita Swatek | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 8.9% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 2.6% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Jackson McKinley | 2.4% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 2.0% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Mitchell Powers | 1.9% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 10.6% | 9.6% | 6.8% | 4.4% | 2.0% | 0.4% |
| Braedon Hansen | 2.7% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 8.0% | 9.3% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 3.6% | 2.0% | 0.3% | 0.2% |
| Liam Williams | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 8.9% | 11.2% | 15.4% | 15.2% | 11.5% | 4.1% |
| Daniel Gates | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 8.7% | 12.4% | 16.8% | 16.9% | 9.8% |
| Colin Olson | 7.0% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 9.0% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Audra Spokas-jaros | 1.9% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 10.9% | 10.0% | 10.2% | 6.0% | 3.7% | 0.5% |
| Brent Lin | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 10.4% | 12.8% | 17.0% | 14.2% | 8.6% |
| Michael Jacobson | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 4.1% | 6.4% | 12.4% | 22.6% | 39.8% |
| Alexis Gregorie | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 5.4% | 8.5% | 12.7% | 21.2% | 34.7% |
| Conrad Kistler | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 8.4% | 10.2% | 13.7% | 11.7% | 8.7% | 5.6% | 1.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.