← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
18.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
22
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of Southern California1.47+3.17vs Predicted
-
2University of Southern California0.64+4.86vs Predicted
-
3University of California at Irvine-0.66+9.41vs Predicted
-
4California Poly Maritime Academy-0.07+5.71vs Predicted
-
5University of Southern California-0.27+5.56vs Predicted
-
6University of California at San Diego-1.13+8.04vs Predicted
-
7University of California at Santa Barbara-0.44+4.01vs Predicted
-
8California State University Channel Islands0.42-0.21vs Predicted
-
9University of California at Davis-0.43+2.16vs Predicted
-
10California Poly Maritime Academy0.33-2.08vs Predicted
-
11San Diego State University0.17-2.57vs Predicted
-
12San Diego State University1.23-7.19vs Predicted
-
13University of California at Berkeley0.20-4.51vs Predicted
-
14University of California at Santa Cruz0.65-6.99vs Predicted
-
15Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.06-5.14vs Predicted
-
16University of California at Los Angeles-1.74+0.12vs Predicted
-
17Arizona State University-0.90-3.69vs Predicted
-
18California State University Channel Islands-2.08-0.71vs Predicted
-
19University of California at Los Angeles-1.38-4.16vs Predicted
-
20University of California at Irvine-3.02-0.30vs Predicted
-
21Cal Poly University S.L.O.-2.36-2.96vs Predicted
-
22University of California at San Diego-2.91-2.54vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
4.17University of Southern California1.470.2%1st Place
-
6.86University of Southern California0.640.1%1st Place
-
12.41University of California at Irvine-0.660.0%1st Place
-
9.71California Poly Maritime Academy-0.070.0%1st Place
-
10.56University of Southern California-0.270.0%1st Place
-
14.04University of California at San Diego-1.130.0%1st Place
-
11.01University of California at Santa Barbara-0.440.0%1st Place
-
7.79California State University Channel Islands0.420.1%1st Place
-
11.16University of California at Davis-0.430.0%1st Place
-
7.92California Poly Maritime Academy0.330.0%1st Place
-
8.43San Diego State University0.170.1%1st Place
-
4.81San Diego State University1.230.1%1st Place
-
8.49University of California at Berkeley0.200.1%1st Place
-
7.01University of California at Santa Cruz0.650.1%1st Place
-
9.86Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.060.0%1st Place
-
16.12University of California at Los Angeles-1.740.0%1st Place
-
13.31Arizona State University-0.900.0%1st Place
-
17.29California State University Channel Islands-2.080.0%1st Place
-
14.84University of California at Los Angeles-1.380.0%1st Place
-
19.7University of California at Irvine-3.020.0%1st Place
-
18.04Cal Poly University S.L.O.-2.360.0%1st Place
-
19.46University of California at San Diego-2.910.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luke Harris | 18.7% | 15.5% | 15.2% | 12.1% | 9.5% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 4.4% | 3.0% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Morgana Manti | 8.9% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 10.4% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 2.8% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nikita Swatek | 2.6% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 9.5% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 2.4% | 0.4% | 0.4% |
| Sam Jennings | 3.7% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 8.3% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Jackson McKinley | 3.9% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 5.0% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Audra Spokas-jaros | 1.5% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 9.4% | 10.1% | 11.0% | 9.2% | 6.5% | 2.9% | 0.4% |
| JT Long | 3.0% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 8.7% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Sterling Maggard | 8.0% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 8.5% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Braedon Hansen | 2.4% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 8.5% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Owen Cuyler | 4.8% | 8.9% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 5.9% | 8.4% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Hopkins | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Aston Smith | 14.3% | 15.4% | 12.7% | 10.1% | 11.4% | 9.0% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 3.3% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Wilton Lawton | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Colin Olson | 8.2% | 7.0% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 3.0% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Robert Bloomfield | 3.7% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Liam Williams | 1.1% | 0.6% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 9.4% | 11.0% | 12.4% | 13.1% | 11.2% | 3.4% |
| Mitchell Powers | 1.3% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 8.7% | 9.7% | 9.4% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 4.3% | 2.4% | 0.3% |
| Brent Lin | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 10.0% | 13.2% | 16.8% | 14.1% | 8.2% |
| Conrad Kistler | 1.0% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 11.9% | 12.0% | 9.5% | 3.8% | 1.6% |
| Michael Jacobson | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 8.2% | 13.3% | 20.7% | 38.5% |
| Griffin Vernon | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 6.2% | 9.1% | 11.0% | 16.6% | 20.3% | 14.5% |
| Alexis Gregorie | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 8.2% | 12.6% | 23.5% | 32.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.