← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
22
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of Southern California1.47+3.45vs Predicted
-
2University of California at Santa Cruz0.65+5.25vs Predicted
-
3California Poly Maritime Academy-0.07+7.49vs Predicted
-
4San Diego State University0.17+5.26vs Predicted
-
5Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.06+5.25vs Predicted
-
6California State University Channel Islands0.42+2.21vs Predicted
-
7University of California at Berkeley0.20+1.88vs Predicted
-
8University of Southern California0.64-0.61vs Predicted
-
9San Diego State University1.23-3.88vs Predicted
-
10California Poly Maritime Academy0.33-1.51vs Predicted
-
11University of California at Irvine0.27-2.37vs Predicted
-
12University of California at Davis-0.43-0.08vs Predicted
-
13University of California at San Diego-1.13+1.84vs Predicted
-
14University of California at Los Angeles-1.74+3.28vs Predicted
-
15University of California at San Diego-2.05+3.26vs Predicted
-
16University of California at Santa Barbara-0.44-4.22vs Predicted
-
17University of California at Irvine-0.66-3.96vs Predicted
-
18University of Southern California-0.27-6.91vs Predicted
-
19Arizona State University-0.90-5.30vs Predicted
-
20California State University Channel Islands-2.08-1.82vs Predicted
-
21University of California at Los Angeles-1.38-5.31vs Predicted
-
22Cal Poly University S.L.O.-2.36-3.18vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
4.45University of Southern California1.470.2%1st Place
-
7.25University of California at Santa Cruz0.650.1%1st Place
-
10.49California Poly Maritime Academy-0.070.0%1st Place
-
9.26San Diego State University0.170.0%1st Place
-
10.25Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.060.0%1st Place
-
8.21California State University Channel Islands0.420.1%1st Place
-
8.88University of California at Berkeley0.200.1%1st Place
-
7.39University of Southern California0.640.1%1st Place
-
5.12San Diego State University1.230.1%1st Place
-
8.49California Poly Maritime Academy0.330.1%1st Place
-
8.63University of California at Irvine0.270.1%1st Place
-
11.92University of California at Davis-0.430.0%1st Place
-
14.84University of California at San Diego-1.130.0%1st Place
-
17.28University of California at Los Angeles-1.740.0%1st Place
-
18.26University of California at San Diego-2.050.0%1st Place
-
11.78University of California at Santa Barbara-0.440.0%1st Place
-
13.04University of California at Irvine-0.660.0%1st Place
-
11.09University of Southern California-0.270.0%1st Place
-
13.7Arizona State University-0.900.0%1st Place
-
18.18California State University Channel Islands-2.080.0%1st Place
-
15.69University of California at Los Angeles-1.380.0%1st Place
-
18.82Cal Poly University S.L.O.-2.360.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luke Harris | 17.9% | 15.1% | 11.5% | 12.6% | 10.9% | 9.0% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Colin Olson | 8.3% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 8.4% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sam Jennings | 3.8% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 3.7% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Christopher Hopkins | 4.2% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 5.4% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Robert Bloomfield | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Sterling Maggard | 5.5% | 7.5% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 8.7% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Wilton Lawton | 5.2% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Morgana Manti | 9.5% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 9.3% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Aston Smith | 13.6% | 13.4% | 13.6% | 10.7% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Owen Cuyler | 5.5% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 3.3% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Arin Bekem | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 7.3% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 3.4% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Braedon Hansen | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Audra Spokas-jaros | 1.5% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 10.8% | 9.1% | 11.1% | 6.0% | 3.0% |
| Liam Williams | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 11.2% | 13.6% | 14.9% | 14.2% |
| Ryan McCrystal | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 11.0% | 13.2% | 21.9% | 20.1% |
| JT Long | 2.6% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 0.4% |
| Nikita Swatek | 1.7% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 6.2% | 3.3% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 3.0% | 0.8% |
| Jackson McKinley | 3.4% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 4.6% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Mitchell Powers | 1.3% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 6.1% | 8.0% | 9.3% | 9.1% | 10.4% | 5.8% | 3.2% | 1.4% |
| Brent Lin | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 7.4% | 8.7% | 16.0% | 17.3% | 22.7% |
| Conrad Kistler | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 13.3% | 10.1% | 10.9% | 5.9% |
| Griffin Vernon | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 8.1% | 12.9% | 18.5% | 31.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.