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📊 Prediction Accuracy
40.9%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
22
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Southern California1.48+2.32vs Predicted
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2San Diego State University-0.19+5.72vs Predicted
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3California Poly Maritime Academy1.75-0.18vs Predicted
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4University of California at Berkeley0.64+1.23vs Predicted
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5California Poly Maritime Academy0.20+1.48vs Predicted
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6Cal Poly University S.L.O.-2.34+9.99vs Predicted
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7University of California at Santa Barbara-1.23+4.36vs Predicted
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8University of California at Irvine-1.53+4.80vs Predicted
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9University of California at Santa Cruz-0.98+1.50vs Predicted
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10University of California at Los Angeles0.13-3.49vs Predicted
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11Arizona State University-1.24+0.44vs Predicted
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12University of Southern California0.46-6.32vs Predicted
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13California State University Channel Islands-2.78+4.48vs Predicted
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14Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.68-0.35vs Predicted
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15California State University Channel Islands-2.04+0.13vs Predicted
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16San Diego State University-2.04-1.35vs Predicted
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17University of California at Los Angeles-2.58-0.07vs Predicted
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18University of California at Irvine-2.14-2.92vs Predicted
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19University of California at San Diego-2.62-2.20vs Predicted
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20University of California at San Diego-1.99-5.26vs Predicted
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21University of California at Davis-2.80-3.55vs Predicted
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22University of Southern California-1.19-10.76vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.32University of Southern California1.480.2%1st Place
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7.72San Diego State University-0.190.0%1st Place
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2.82California Poly Maritime Academy1.750.3%1st Place
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5.23University of California at Berkeley0.640.1%1st Place
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6.48California Poly Maritime Academy0.200.1%1st Place
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15.99Cal Poly University S.L.O.-2.340.0%1st Place
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11.36University of California at Santa Barbara-1.230.0%1st Place
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12.8University of California at Irvine-1.530.0%1st Place
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10.5University of California at Santa Cruz-0.980.0%1st Place
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6.51University of California at Los Angeles0.130.1%1st Place
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11.44Arizona State University-1.240.0%1st Place
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5.68University of Southern California0.460.1%1st Place
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17.48California State University Channel Islands-2.780.0%1st Place
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13.65Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.680.0%1st Place
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15.13California State University Channel Islands-2.040.0%1st Place
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14.65San Diego State University-2.040.0%1st Place
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16.93University of California at Los Angeles-2.580.0%1st Place
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15.08University of California at Irvine-2.140.0%1st Place
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16.8University of California at San Diego-2.620.0%1st Place
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14.74University of California at San Diego-1.990.0%1st Place
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17.45University of California at Davis-2.800.0%1st Place
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11.24University of Southern California-1.190.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hudson Mayfield | 21.8% | 20.9% | 15.8% | 16.4% | 10.2% | 7.5% | 3.6% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Owen Gormely | 4.7% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 10.1% | 7.9% | 10.0% | 8.7% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Mueller | 28.7% | 23.3% | 18.7% | 11.7% | 8.3% | 5.3% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Carsten Zieger | 10.0% | 10.9% | 12.4% | 12.0% | 11.3% | 11.4% | 9.7% | 8.1% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicolai Perez | 7.2% | 6.3% | 8.5% | 9.3% | 10.5% | 9.8% | 11.1% | 10.2% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Colin Thompson | 0.3% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 9.4% | 9.6% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 10.2% | 8.9% |
| Jonah Eckerman | 2.0% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.4% |
| Brayden Money | 1.3% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 2.5% | 0.6% |
| Lucas Elliott | 2.2% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 10.1% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Brendan Connelly | 5.2% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 10.1% | 10.2% | 11.3% | 9.3% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Gavin Hirz | 1.5% | 1.2% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 9.4% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 0.2% | 0.3% |
| Maximilian Conze | 7.8% | 9.4% | 9.9% | 11.8% | 12.4% | 11.1% | 11.3% | 8.6% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kurt Richards | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 11.3% | 14.6% | 19.5% |
| Sienna Stromberg | 0.7% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 1.7% |
| Seraphee de Labaca | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 8.7% | 7.7% | 9.1% | 9.5% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 5.0% |
| Ryan Giorgianni | 1.2% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 3.7% |
| Andrew Bistras | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 10.0% | 10.1% | 10.4% | 12.7% | 14.0% |
| Gennis Marie Pilapil | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 9.1% | 7.5% | 4.6% |
| Maria Gunness | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 10.6% | 9.5% | 12.4% | 14.6% |
| Cassie Halaszynski | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 6.1% | 4.1% |
| Blossom Jee | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 10.8% | 13.3% | 22.4% |
| Ava Bergan | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.