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📊 Prediction Accuracy
45.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
22
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Southern California1.48+2.28vs Predicted
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2California Poly Maritime Academy1.75+0.81vs Predicted
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3University of Southern California0.46+2.78vs Predicted
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4University of California at Berkeley0.64+1.22vs Predicted
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5University of Southern California-1.19+6.33vs Predicted
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6San Diego State University-0.19+1.72vs Predicted
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7University of California at Los Angeles0.13-0.56vs Predicted
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8Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.68+5.43vs Predicted
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9Arizona State University-1.24+2.63vs Predicted
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10University of California at Santa Barbara-1.23+1.40vs Predicted
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11California Poly Maritime Academy0.20-4.72vs Predicted
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12University of California at Santa Cruz-0.98-1.43vs Predicted
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13California State University Channel Islands-2.78+4.48vs Predicted
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14University of California at Irvine-1.53-0.99vs Predicted
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15San Diego State University-2.04+0.12vs Predicted
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16Cal Poly University S.L.O.-2.34-0.25vs Predicted
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17California State University Channel Islands-2.04-2.06vs Predicted
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18University of California at San Diego-1.99-3.51vs Predicted
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19University of California at Davis-2.80-1.57vs Predicted
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20University of California at San Diego-2.62-2.94vs Predicted
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21University of California at Irvine-2.14-5.88vs Predicted
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22University of California at Los Angeles-2.58-5.30vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.28University of Southern California1.480.2%1st Place
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2.81California Poly Maritime Academy1.750.3%1st Place
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5.78University of Southern California0.460.1%1st Place
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5.22University of California at Berkeley0.640.1%1st Place
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11.33University of Southern California-1.190.0%1st Place
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7.72San Diego State University-0.190.0%1st Place
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6.44University of California at Los Angeles0.130.1%1st Place
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13.43Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.680.0%1st Place
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11.63Arizona State University-1.240.0%1st Place
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11.4University of California at Santa Barbara-1.230.0%1st Place
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6.28California Poly Maritime Academy0.200.1%1st Place
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10.57University of California at Santa Cruz-0.980.0%1st Place
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17.48California State University Channel Islands-2.780.0%1st Place
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13.01University of California at Irvine-1.530.0%1st Place
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15.12San Diego State University-2.040.0%1st Place
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15.75Cal Poly University S.L.O.-2.340.0%1st Place
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14.94California State University Channel Islands-2.040.0%1st Place
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14.49University of California at San Diego-1.990.0%1st Place
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17.43University of California at Davis-2.800.0%1st Place
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17.06University of California at San Diego-2.620.0%1st Place
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15.12University of California at Irvine-2.140.0%1st Place
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16.7University of California at Los Angeles-2.580.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hudson Mayfield | 21.7% | 20.9% | 18.4% | 14.4% | 9.9% | 7.1% | 4.1% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Mueller | 30.1% | 23.5% | 15.3% | 14.1% | 8.5% | 3.9% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Maximilian Conze | 7.4% | 8.9% | 9.6% | 11.5% | 11.2% | 12.3% | 11.0% | 9.2% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Carsten Zieger | 9.8% | 10.1% | 13.3% | 12.1% | 11.7% | 11.6% | 9.6% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 3.3% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ava Bergan | 2.0% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| Owen Gormely | 3.9% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 11.8% | 11.3% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brendan Connelly | 6.8% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 10.1% | 10.5% | 9.6% | 9.6% | 10.2% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sienna Stromberg | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 3.9% | 1.3% |
| Gavin Hirz | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Jonah Eckerman | 1.1% | 1.4% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Nicolai Perez | 6.9% | 7.6% | 9.9% | 9.1% | 10.2% | 10.6% | 11.0% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 2.0% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lucas Elliott | 1.2% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 9.5% | 9.1% | 7.7% | 9.1% | 8.1% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.2% |
| Kurt Richards | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 12.8% | 12.3% | 20.2% |
| Brayden Money | 0.9% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 1.2% |
| Ryan Giorgianni | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 6.1% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 10.2% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 5.2% |
| Colin Thompson | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 9.4% | 11.0% | 8.5% |
| Seraphee de Labaca | 0.5% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 10.1% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 8.5% | 6.3% | 5.8% |
| Cassie Halaszynski | 1.1% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 9.2% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 3.9% |
| Blossom Jee | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 10.6% | 14.3% | 19.2% |
| Maria Gunness | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 10.4% | 11.1% | 8.8% | 13.3% | 15.7% |
| Gennis Marie Pilapil | 0.7% | 0.5% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 9.1% | 9.1% | 9.1% | 5.2% |
| Andrew Bistras | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 8.4% | 10.2% | 11.5% | 11.7% | 13.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.