← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
40.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
22
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of Southern California1.48+2.32vs Predicted
-
2University of Southern California0.46+3.73vs Predicted
-
3California Poly Maritime Academy1.75-0.14vs Predicted
-
4University of California at Berkeley0.64+1.27vs Predicted
-
5University of Southern California-1.19+6.55vs Predicted
-
6California Poly Maritime Academy0.20+0.45vs Predicted
-
7University of California at Los Angeles0.13-0.40vs Predicted
-
8University of California at Santa Cruz-0.98+2.78vs Predicted
-
9University of California at Santa Barbara-1.23+2.76vs Predicted
-
10Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.68+3.52vs Predicted
-
11San Diego State University-0.19-3.37vs Predicted
-
12University of California at Irvine-2.14+3.43vs Predicted
-
13University of California at San Diego-1.71+0.68vs Predicted
-
14University of California at Irvine-1.53-0.78vs Predicted
-
15Cal Poly University S.L.O.-2.34+1.46vs Predicted
-
16University of California at Los Angeles-2.58+0.83vs Predicted
-
17University of California at Davis-2.80+0.86vs Predicted
-
18Arizona State University-1.24-6.29vs Predicted
-
19University of California at San Diego-1.99-4.33vs Predicted
-
20San Diego State University-2.04-4.88vs Predicted
-
21California State University Channel Islands-2.04-6.02vs Predicted
-
22California State University Channel Islands-2.78-4.39vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
3.32University of Southern California1.480.2%1st Place
-
5.73University of Southern California0.460.1%1st Place
-
2.86California Poly Maritime Academy1.750.3%1st Place
-
5.27University of California at Berkeley0.640.1%1st Place
-
11.55University of Southern California-1.190.0%1st Place
-
6.45California Poly Maritime Academy0.200.1%1st Place
-
6.6University of California at Los Angeles0.130.1%1st Place
-
10.78University of California at Santa Cruz-0.980.0%1st Place
-
11.76University of California at Santa Barbara-1.230.0%1st Place
-
13.52Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.680.0%1st Place
-
7.63San Diego State University-0.190.0%1st Place
-
15.43University of California at Irvine-2.140.0%1st Place
-
13.68University of California at San Diego-1.710.0%1st Place
-
13.22University of California at Irvine-1.530.0%1st Place
-
16.46Cal Poly University S.L.O.-2.340.0%1st Place
-
16.83University of California at Los Angeles-2.580.0%1st Place
-
17.86University of California at Davis-2.800.0%1st Place
-
11.71Arizona State University-1.240.0%1st Place
-
14.67University of California at San Diego-1.990.0%1st Place
-
15.12San Diego State University-2.040.0%1st Place
-
14.98California State University Channel Islands-2.040.0%1st Place
-
17.61California State University Channel Islands-2.780.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hudson Mayfield | 21.5% | 20.9% | 17.9% | 13.8% | 10.7% | 7.1% | 4.0% | 2.3% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Maximilian Conze | 7.5% | 8.9% | 12.9% | 10.3% | 10.4% | 12.6% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Mueller | 28.9% | 21.9% | 18.5% | 13.1% | 8.2% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Carsten Zieger | 10.0% | 9.8% | 11.0% | 14.5% | 11.6% | 11.7% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 5.6% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ava Bergan | 1.6% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 0.5% |
| Nicolai Perez | 6.4% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 9.2% | 12.1% | 10.7% | 11.2% | 8.9% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brendan Connelly | 6.4% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 9.9% | 9.9% | 10.4% | 9.1% | 10.1% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lucas Elliott | 2.5% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Jonah Eckerman | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 8.9% | 6.8% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| Sienna Stromberg | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 9.1% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 3.4% | 1.8% |
| Owen Gormely | 4.7% | 4.4% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 10.2% | 10.6% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Gennis Marie Pilapil | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 9.6% | 8.7% | 9.6% | 7.4% | 5.8% |
| Ian Johnston | 0.8% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 3.7% | 2.0% |
| Brayden Money | 0.6% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 1.4% |
| Colin Thompson | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 8.7% | 8.4% | 10.3% | 10.1% | 11.7% | 11.1% |
| Andrew Bistras | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 1.1% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 3.7% | 2.1% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 9.6% | 13.2% | 16.4% |
| Blossom Jee | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 11.5% | 15.3% | 23.9% |
| Gavin Hirz | 2.2% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 0.6% |
| Cassie Halaszynski | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 3.3% |
| Ryan Giorgianni | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 5.4% |
| Seraphee de Labaca | 0.6% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 9.3% | 5.4% |
| Kurt Richards | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 12.6% | 13.7% | 21.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.