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📊 Prediction Accuracy
81.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1St. Mary's College of Maryland1.28+1.30vs Predicted
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2U. S. Naval Academy1.78-0.19vs Predicted
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3U. S. Naval Academy0.27+0.63vs Predicted
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4Washington College-0.80+1.41vs Predicted
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5Princeton University-0.92+0.47vs Predicted
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6Drexel University-1.19-0.02vs Predicted
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8University of Delaware-1.57-1.52vs Predicted
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9Catholic University of America-2.14-1.41vs Predicted
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10St. John's College-3.61-0.17vs Predicted
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11University of Maryland/Baltimore County-2.45-2.90vs Predicted
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12Syracuse University-3.33-2.61vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.3St. Mary's College of Maryland1.280.3%1st Place
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1.81U. S. Naval Academy1.780.5%1st Place
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3.63U. S. Naval Academy0.270.1%1st Place
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5.41Washington College-0.800.0%1st Place
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5.47Princeton University-0.920.0%1st Place
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5.98Drexel University-1.190.0%1st Place
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6.48University of Delaware-1.570.0%1st Place
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7.59Catholic University of America-2.140.0%1st Place
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9.83St. John's College-3.610.0%1st Place
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8.1University of Maryland/Baltimore County-2.450.0%1st Place
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9.39Syracuse University-3.330.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joseph Marynowski | 27.3% | 35.5% | 22.1% | 11.1% | 3.2% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sean Trudell | 48.6% | 29.5% | 15.6% | 4.8% | 1.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Logan Hayes | 9.8% | 14.9% | 25.6% | 20.7% | 16.2% | 7.9% | 3.6% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Imogene Nuss | 2.9% | 5.4% | 9.5% | 14.5% | 18.4% | 19.2% | 14.8% | 9.5% | 4.3% | 1.3% | 0.2% |
| Evelyn Walsh | 4.0% | 5.0% | 8.6% | 16.3% | 17.3% | 14.3% | 15.8% | 11.0% | 6.1% | 1.6% | 0.0% |
| Nathaniel Adams | 2.4% | 3.4% | 7.7% | 11.8% | 15.6% | 17.6% | 15.9% | 11.8% | 9.2% | 3.9% | 0.7% |
| Ethan Deutsch | 2.2% | 3.2% | 5.1% | 8.9% | 11.6% | 15.9% | 16.8% | 17.4% | 12.2% | 5.3% | 1.4% |
| John Anthony Caraig | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 11.4% | 13.7% | 18.1% | 20.4% | 15.5% | 4.4% |
| Reagan Bottomley | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 6.2% | 10.5% | 22.2% | 51.3% |
| John TIS | 0.6% | 0.8% | 2.7% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 10.7% | 17.0% | 23.3% | 19.1% | 9.4% |
| Finn Halstead | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 1.5% | 2.7% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 7.9% | 13.7% | 31.1% | 32.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.