← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
45.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Naval Academy1.78+0.81vs Predicted
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2Washington College-0.80+3.25vs Predicted
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3St. Mary's College of Maryland1.28-0.61vs Predicted
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4University of Maryland/Baltimore County-2.45+4.34vs Predicted
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5U. S. Naval Academy0.27-1.48vs Predicted
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7University of Delaware-1.57-0.27vs Predicted
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8Drexel University-1.19-2.22vs Predicted
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9Princeton University-0.92-3.63vs Predicted
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10Catholic University of America-2.14-2.35vs Predicted
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11St. John's College-3.61-1.23vs Predicted
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12Syracuse University-3.33-2.61vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.81U. S. Naval Academy1.780.5%1st Place
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5.25Washington College-0.800.0%1st Place
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2.39St. Mary's College of Maryland1.280.3%1st Place
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8.34University of Maryland/Baltimore County-2.450.0%1st Place
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3.52U. S. Naval Academy0.270.1%1st Place
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6.73University of Delaware-1.570.0%1st Place
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5.78Drexel University-1.190.0%1st Place
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5.37Princeton University-0.920.0%1st Place
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7.65Catholic University of America-2.140.0%1st Place
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9.77St. John's College-3.610.0%1st Place
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9.39Syracuse University-3.330.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sean Trudell | 48.2% | 30.7% | 14.1% | 5.7% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Imogene Nuss | 3.9% | 4.8% | 10.6% | 15.7% | 20.2% | 17.7% | 12.9% | 9.9% | 3.4% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Joseph Marynowski | 25.1% | 35.3% | 22.8% | 10.4% | 5.4% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| John TIS | 0.6% | 0.6% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 4.8% | 7.4% | 9.6% | 15.5% | 22.4% | 22.2% | 12.0% |
| Logan Hayes | 11.8% | 15.7% | 25.1% | 21.4% | 14.0% | 7.3% | 3.4% | 1.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ethan Deutsch | 1.4% | 2.0% | 5.1% | 7.8% | 11.6% | 13.3% | 18.7% | 18.4% | 13.9% | 6.2% | 1.6% |
| Nathaniel Adams | 3.4% | 4.2% | 7.1% | 12.4% | 15.3% | 18.4% | 17.9% | 11.9% | 6.6% | 2.5% | 0.3% |
| Evelyn Walsh | 3.6% | 4.5% | 9.6% | 17.2% | 17.4% | 17.6% | 14.2% | 9.4% | 5.5% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| John Anthony Caraig | 1.1% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 10.1% | 13.4% | 19.8% | 20.5% | 14.1% | 5.9% |
| Reagan Bottomley | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 2.7% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 12.9% | 21.8% | 48.3% |
| Finn Halstead | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 2.8% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 8.1% | 14.8% | 31.6% | 31.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.