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📊 Prediction Accuracy
18.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Catholic University of America-2.14+7.27vs Predicted
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2Washington College-0.80+3.54vs Predicted
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3St. Mary's College of Maryland1.28-0.58vs Predicted
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4U. S. Naval Academy1.78-2.13vs Predicted
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5University of Delaware-1.57+2.09vs Predicted
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6U. S. Naval Academy0.27-2.28vs Predicted
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8Drexel University-1.19-1.87vs Predicted
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9Princeton University-0.92-3.26vs Predicted
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10St. John's College-1.31-3.34vs Predicted
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11University of Maryland/Baltimore County-2.45-2.34vs Predicted
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12Syracuse University-3.33-2.10vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.27Catholic University of America-2.140.0%1st Place
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5.54Washington College-0.800.0%1st Place
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2.42St. Mary's College of Maryland1.280.3%1st Place
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1.87U. S. Naval Academy1.780.5%1st Place
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7.09University of Delaware-1.570.0%1st Place
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3.72U. S. Naval Academy0.270.1%1st Place
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6.13Drexel University-1.190.0%1st Place
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5.74Princeton University-0.920.0%1st Place
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6.66St. John's College-1.310.0%1st Place
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8.66University of Maryland/Baltimore County-2.450.0%1st Place
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9.9Syracuse University-3.330.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| John Anthony Caraig | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 6.0% | 8.4% | 10.0% | 12.8% | 21.4% | 22.9% | 12.2% |
| Imogene Nuss | 3.4% | 5.1% | 10.3% | 14.2% | 16.1% | 16.3% | 14.2% | 11.7% | 5.7% | 2.5% | 0.5% |
| Joseph Marynowski | 26.8% | 31.7% | 23.1% | 12.0% | 4.8% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sean Trudell | 46.4% | 30.7% | 15.5% | 5.2% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ethan Deutsch | 1.9% | 2.7% | 4.4% | 6.5% | 9.8% | 12.9% | 12.5% | 16.4% | 15.6% | 13.3% | 4.0% |
| Logan Hayes | 10.5% | 14.4% | 24.3% | 21.8% | 12.6% | 8.7% | 4.6% | 2.5% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nathaniel Adams | 3.9% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 10.1% | 14.6% | 14.6% | 16.4% | 13.5% | 9.9% | 5.3% | 1.6% |
| Evelyn Walsh | 3.0% | 4.7% | 8.0% | 15.4% | 16.8% | 13.9% | 14.0% | 11.5% | 8.8% | 3.4% | 0.5% |
| Silas Hodges | 2.2% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 8.2% | 10.5% | 15.8% | 14.7% | 15.6% | 13.4% | 7.8% | 3.2% |
| John TIS | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 3.0% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 9.7% | 10.2% | 16.3% | 28.1% | 19.6% |
| Finn Halstead | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 1.0% | 1.9% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 5.7% | 8.3% | 16.7% | 58.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.