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📊 Prediction Accuracy
72.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1St. Mary's College of Maryland1.28+1.32vs Predicted
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2U. S. Naval Academy1.78-0.20vs Predicted
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3Washington College-0.80+2.33vs Predicted
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4University of Delaware-1.57+2.69vs Predicted
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5U. S. Naval Academy0.27-1.46vs Predicted
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7Princeton University-0.92-1.55vs Predicted
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8Catholic University of America-2.14-0.59vs Predicted
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9Drexel University-1.19-3.18vs Predicted
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10University of Maryland/Baltimore County-2.45-1.89vs Predicted
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11Syracuse University-3.33-1.71vs Predicted
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12St. John's College-4.22-1.74vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.32St. Mary's College of Maryland1.280.3%1st Place
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1.8U. S. Naval Academy1.780.5%1st Place
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5.33Washington College-0.800.0%1st Place
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6.69University of Delaware-1.570.0%1st Place
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3.54U. S. Naval Academy0.270.1%1st Place
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5.45Princeton University-0.920.0%1st Place
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7.41Catholic University of America-2.140.0%1st Place
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5.82Drexel University-1.190.0%1st Place
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8.11University of Maryland/Baltimore County-2.450.0%1st Place
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9.29Syracuse University-3.330.0%1st Place
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10.26St. John's College-4.220.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joseph Marynowski | 27.5% | 34.1% | 23.0% | 11.7% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sean Trudell | 49.1% | 29.1% | 15.7% | 4.5% | 1.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Imogene Nuss | 3.6% | 5.2% | 8.6% | 15.5% | 20.6% | 17.5% | 14.6% | 9.3% | 4.3% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Ethan Deutsch | 1.5% | 2.7% | 4.1% | 7.3% | 12.3% | 14.1% | 19.3% | 17.9% | 13.0% | 6.8% | 1.0% |
| Logan Hayes | 10.1% | 17.0% | 25.3% | 22.6% | 12.5% | 8.2% | 3.0% | 1.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Evelyn Walsh | 3.0% | 4.6% | 9.9% | 14.9% | 18.5% | 18.2% | 14.0% | 10.1% | 5.3% | 1.4% | 0.1% |
| John Anthony Caraig | 0.7% | 2.1% | 3.8% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 10.0% | 15.6% | 19.5% | 21.3% | 12.3% | 2.7% |
| Nathaniel Adams | 3.0% | 3.7% | 6.7% | 12.9% | 16.8% | 18.9% | 14.6% | 13.0% | 8.5% | 1.5% | 0.4% |
| John TIS | 0.8% | 0.9% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 5.3% | 7.5% | 9.6% | 16.9% | 27.2% | 18.3% | 7.8% |
| Finn Halstead | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 1.5% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 14.5% | 38.5% | 24.0% |
| August Bellanca | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 1.4% | 2.6% | 4.1% | 5.9% | 20.4% | 64.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.