← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
63.6%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1U. S. Naval Academy1.78+0.86vs Predicted
-
2U. S. Naval Academy0.27+1.68vs Predicted
-
3Washington College-0.80+2.75vs Predicted
-
4Drexel University-1.19+2.45vs Predicted
-
5St. John's College-1.31+1.59vs Predicted
-
6Princeton University-0.92-0.13vs Predicted
-
7Catholic University of America-2.14+1.01vs Predicted
-
9University of Maryland/Baltimore County-2.45-0.43vs Predicted
-
10Syracuse University-3.33-0.08vs Predicted
-
11University of Delaware-1.57-4.01vs Predicted
-
12St. Mary's College of Maryland1.28-9.68vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
1.86U. S. Naval Academy1.780.4%1st Place
-
3.68U. S. Naval Academy0.270.1%1st Place
-
5.75Washington College-0.800.0%1st Place
-
6.45Drexel University-1.190.0%1st Place
-
6.59St. John's College-1.310.0%1st Place
-
5.87Princeton University-0.920.0%1st Place
-
8.01Catholic University of America-2.140.0%1st Place
-
8.57University of Maryland/Baltimore County-2.450.0%1st Place
-
9.92Syracuse University-3.330.0%1st Place
-
6.99University of Delaware-1.570.0%1st Place
-
2.32St. Mary's College of Maryland1.280.3%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sean Trudell | 44.5% | 32.8% | 16.1% | 5.6% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Logan Hayes | 10.3% | 14.8% | 24.1% | 21.4% | 15.4% | 7.9% | 3.9% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Imogene Nuss | 3.0% | 4.5% | 8.2% | 14.7% | 14.1% | 17.2% | 15.4% | 12.1% | 7.4% | 3.1% | 0.3% |
| Nathaniel Adams | 2.3% | 3.3% | 5.5% | 9.6% | 13.1% | 15.2% | 16.0% | 13.1% | 12.8% | 7.9% | 1.2% |
| Silas Hodges | 2.3% | 2.6% | 5.9% | 9.4% | 13.7% | 13.4% | 13.5% | 14.8% | 12.3% | 9.4% | 2.7% |
| Evelyn Walsh | 2.9% | 4.1% | 8.5% | 12.0% | 17.2% | 16.1% | 14.2% | 11.5% | 7.7% | 5.0% | 0.8% |
| John Anthony Caraig | 0.4% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 10.5% | 15.0% | 19.7% | 20.3% | 11.4% |
| John TIS | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 6.6% | 9.1% | 11.8% | 16.2% | 25.3% | 19.9% |
| Finn Halstead | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 5.1% | 7.7% | 17.1% | 59.6% |
| Ethan Deutsch | 1.7% | 2.3% | 4.7% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 12.3% | 14.1% | 14.8% | 15.8% | 11.8% | 4.1% |
| Joseph Marynowski | 31.3% | 31.0% | 21.6% | 9.3% | 4.6% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.