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📊 Prediction Accuracy
72.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1St. Mary's College of Maryland1.28+1.35vs Predicted
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2U. S. Naval Academy0.27+1.69vs Predicted
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3U. S. Naval Academy1.78-1.16vs Predicted
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4Washington College-0.80+1.77vs Predicted
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5St. John's College-1.31+1.58vs Predicted
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7Princeton University-0.92-1.11vs Predicted
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8Syracuse University-3.33+1.78vs Predicted
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9Drexel University-1.19-2.73vs Predicted
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10Catholic University of America-2.14-1.77vs Predicted
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11University of Maryland/Baltimore County-2.45-2.38vs Predicted
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12University of Delaware-1.57-5.03vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.35St. Mary's College of Maryland1.280.3%1st Place
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3.69U. S. Naval Academy0.270.1%1st Place
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1.84U. S. Naval Academy1.780.5%1st Place
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5.77Washington College-0.800.0%1st Place
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6.58St. John's College-1.310.0%1st Place
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5.89Princeton University-0.920.0%1st Place
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9.78Syracuse University-3.330.0%1st Place
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6.27Drexel University-1.190.0%1st Place
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8.23Catholic University of America-2.140.0%1st Place
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8.62University of Maryland/Baltimore County-2.450.0%1st Place
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6.97University of Delaware-1.570.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joseph Marynowski | 28.0% | 32.5% | 22.4% | 12.4% | 3.1% | 1.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Logan Hayes | 10.8% | 14.5% | 25.4% | 19.6% | 14.0% | 7.9% | 5.3% | 2.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sean Trudell | 46.8% | 32.0% | 14.2% | 5.0% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Imogene Nuss | 3.3% | 4.6% | 7.3% | 12.6% | 17.1% | 17.9% | 14.0% | 12.3% | 6.6% | 3.4% | 0.9% |
| Silas Hodges | 2.5% | 3.2% | 6.0% | 9.7% | 10.3% | 14.4% | 15.3% | 13.7% | 14.5% | 7.4% | 3.0% |
| Evelyn Walsh | 2.7% | 4.7% | 8.4% | 12.1% | 15.6% | 16.3% | 14.5% | 11.8% | 8.7% | 3.9% | 1.3% |
| Finn Halstead | 0.3% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 5.6% | 9.4% | 18.0% | 55.6% |
| Nathaniel Adams | 2.6% | 3.0% | 7.0% | 10.4% | 15.9% | 13.7% | 14.8% | 12.5% | 12.4% | 5.9% | 1.8% |
| John Anthony Caraig | 1.0% | 1.5% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 7.2% | 10.2% | 14.3% | 18.3% | 21.9% | 14.6% |
| John TIS | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 8.3% | 10.7% | 15.0% | 29.4% | 18.6% |
| Ethan Deutsch | 1.3% | 2.7% | 4.3% | 8.5% | 10.2% | 12.0% | 15.1% | 16.9% | 14.7% | 10.1% | 4.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.