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📊 Prediction Accuracy
81.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Naval Academy1.78+0.80vs Predicted
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2Washington College-0.80+3.18vs Predicted
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3U. S. Naval Academy0.27+0.58vs Predicted
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4St. Mary's College of Maryland1.28-1.67vs Predicted
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6Princeton University-0.92-0.63vs Predicted
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7Catholic University of America-2.14+0.59vs Predicted
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8Drexel University-1.47-1.79vs Predicted
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9University of Maryland/Baltimore County-2.45-1.03vs Predicted
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10Syracuse University-3.33-0.71vs Predicted
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11St. John's College-4.22-0.76vs Predicted
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12University of Delaware-1.57-5.57vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.8U. S. Naval Academy1.780.5%1st Place
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5.18Washington College-0.800.0%1st Place
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3.58U. S. Naval Academy0.270.1%1st Place
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2.33St. Mary's College of Maryland1.280.3%1st Place
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5.37Princeton University-0.920.0%1st Place
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7.59Catholic University of America-2.140.0%1st Place
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6.21Drexel University-1.470.0%1st Place
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7.97University of Maryland/Baltimore County-2.450.0%1st Place
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9.29Syracuse University-3.330.0%1st Place
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10.24St. John's College-4.220.0%1st Place
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6.43University of Delaware-1.570.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sean Trudell | 48.4% | 31.1% | 14.6% | 4.2% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Imogene Nuss | 4.1% | 4.5% | 10.0% | 18.4% | 20.4% | 16.4% | 13.8% | 7.8% | 4.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Logan Hayes | 9.8% | 15.4% | 26.1% | 21.9% | 14.8% | 7.6% | 3.3% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Joseph Marynowski | 27.3% | 34.7% | 22.7% | 10.3% | 3.3% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Evelyn Walsh | 4.1% | 4.7% | 10.9% | 13.8% | 19.2% | 15.1% | 16.0% | 9.9% | 5.2% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| John Anthony Caraig | 0.9% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 10.6% | 12.7% | 21.1% | 20.9% | 14.2% | 3.9% |
| Charlotte Shaw | 2.3% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 10.5% | 13.9% | 18.1% | 17.0% | 15.0% | 10.2% | 4.5% | 0.2% |
| John TIS | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 3.3% | 4.8% | 10.4% | 12.2% | 17.3% | 22.7% | 19.2% | 6.3% |
| Finn Halstead | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 8.5% | 15.4% | 38.1% | 24.6% |
| August Bellanca | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 3.8% | 8.3% | 18.1% | 64.2% |
| Ethan Deutsch | 1.3% | 2.4% | 6.4% | 9.6% | 13.5% | 13.9% | 19.1% | 15.6% | 13.0% | 4.4% | 0.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.