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📊 Prediction Accuracy
72.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1St. Mary's College of Maryland1.28+1.38vs Predicted
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2U. S. Naval Academy1.78-0.16vs Predicted
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3U. S. Naval Academy0.27+0.81vs Predicted
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4St. John's College-1.31+2.72vs Predicted
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5Washington College-0.80+0.58vs Predicted
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6Drexel University-1.19+0.38vs Predicted
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8Syracuse University-3.33+1.78vs Predicted
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9Catholic University of America-2.14-0.91vs Predicted
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10University of Maryland/Baltimore County-2.45-1.28vs Predicted
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11Princeton University-0.92-5.27vs Predicted
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12University of Delaware-1.57-5.03vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.38St. Mary's College of Maryland1.280.3%1st Place
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1.84U. S. Naval Academy1.780.5%1st Place
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3.81U. S. Naval Academy0.270.1%1st Place
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6.72St. John's College-1.310.0%1st Place
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5.58Washington College-0.800.0%1st Place
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6.38Drexel University-1.190.0%1st Place
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9.78Syracuse University-3.330.0%1st Place
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8.09Catholic University of America-2.140.0%1st Place
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8.72University of Maryland/Baltimore County-2.450.0%1st Place
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5.73Princeton University-0.920.0%1st Place
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6.97University of Delaware-1.570.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joseph Marynowski | 26.4% | 34.0% | 22.8% | 11.1% | 4.1% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sean Trudell | 48.3% | 29.7% | 14.3% | 5.9% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Logan Hayes | 9.4% | 14.3% | 21.7% | 22.8% | 14.9% | 9.5% | 4.6% | 2.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Silas Hodges | 1.8% | 3.0% | 5.5% | 7.6% | 11.8% | 12.6% | 16.2% | 17.1% | 14.3% | 7.2% | 2.9% |
| Imogene Nuss | 3.9% | 5.8% | 9.2% | 14.2% | 15.8% | 15.5% | 14.6% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 2.7% | 0.8% |
| Nathaniel Adams | 2.5% | 3.0% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 14.6% | 13.4% | 14.9% | 14.1% | 12.9% | 6.4% | 1.9% |
| Finn Halstead | 0.2% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 3.3% | 5.6% | 8.6% | 17.4% | 56.3% |
| John Anthony Caraig | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 8.9% | 10.9% | 12.7% | 18.1% | 21.4% | 13.1% |
| John TIS | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 10.6% | 14.7% | 29.5% | 21.2% |
| Evelyn Walsh | 3.7% | 4.7% | 9.0% | 12.9% | 14.8% | 17.3% | 13.3% | 12.1% | 8.6% | 3.2% | 0.4% |
| Ethan Deutsch | 1.7% | 2.2% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 10.3% | 13.1% | 14.6% | 16.4% | 14.0% | 12.1% | 3.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.