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📊 Prediction Accuracy
72.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Naval Academy1.78+0.85vs Predicted
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2U. S. Naval Academy0.27+1.67vs Predicted
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3St. Mary's College of Maryland1.28-0.56vs Predicted
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4Princeton University-0.92+1.98vs Predicted
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6Drexel University-1.19+0.39vs Predicted
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7St. John's College-1.31-0.43vs Predicted
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8Washington College-0.80-2.54vs Predicted
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9University of Maryland/Baltimore County-2.45-0.38vs Predicted
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10Syracuse University-3.33-0.07vs Predicted
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11Catholic University of America-2.14-2.91vs Predicted
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12University of Delaware-1.57-4.99vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.85U. S. Naval Academy1.780.5%1st Place
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3.67U. S. Naval Academy0.270.1%1st Place
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2.44St. Mary's College of Maryland1.280.3%1st Place
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5.98Princeton University-0.920.0%1st Place
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6.39Drexel University-1.190.0%1st Place
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6.57St. John's College-1.310.0%1st Place
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5.46Washington College-0.800.0%1st Place
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8.62University of Maryland/Baltimore County-2.450.0%1st Place
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9.93Syracuse University-3.330.0%1st Place
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8.09Catholic University of America-2.140.0%1st Place
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7.01University of Delaware-1.570.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sean Trudell | 47.1% | 30.7% | 14.8% | 6.0% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Logan Hayes | 11.0% | 14.8% | 25.8% | 18.0% | 14.3% | 10.0% | 4.1% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Joseph Marynowski | 26.2% | 32.0% | 23.8% | 10.8% | 4.9% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Evelyn Walsh | 3.2% | 4.0% | 7.2% | 11.9% | 14.6% | 17.4% | 13.9% | 13.2% | 9.4% | 4.6% | 0.6% |
| Nathaniel Adams | 2.6% | 3.8% | 5.4% | 10.9% | 13.4% | 13.5% | 14.8% | 14.8% | 11.2% | 7.6% | 2.0% |
| Silas Hodges | 1.9% | 3.5% | 5.6% | 9.2% | 11.4% | 15.8% | 14.1% | 15.7% | 11.6% | 9.0% | 2.2% |
| Imogene Nuss | 4.7% | 6.0% | 8.3% | 15.3% | 17.6% | 14.5% | 13.6% | 10.4% | 6.4% | 2.7% | 0.5% |
| John TIS | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 9.6% | 10.9% | 17.4% | 26.9% | 18.9% |
| Finn Halstead | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 8.8% | 14.7% | 61.0% |
| John Anthony Caraig | 0.8% | 1.3% | 2.2% | 4.6% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 10.3% | 14.1% | 17.5% | 22.6% | 12.0% |
| Ethan Deutsch | 1.0% | 2.0% | 5.3% | 8.9% | 9.6% | 11.8% | 15.2% | 14.3% | 17.2% | 11.9% | 2.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.