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📊 Prediction Accuracy
54.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1St. Mary's College of Maryland1.28+1.38vs Predicted
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2Washington College-0.80+3.57vs Predicted
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3U. S. Naval Academy1.78-1.11vs Predicted
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4Drexel University-1.19+2.50vs Predicted
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5Princeton University-0.92+0.80vs Predicted
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6St. John's College-1.31+0.63vs Predicted
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7Syracuse University-3.33+2.80vs Predicted
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9University of Maryland/Baltimore County-2.45-0.40vs Predicted
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10Catholic University of America-2.14-1.78vs Predicted
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11University of Delaware-1.57-4.00vs Predicted
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12U. S. Naval Academy0.27-8.40vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.38St. Mary's College of Maryland1.280.3%1st Place
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5.57Washington College-0.800.0%1st Place
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1.89U. S. Naval Academy1.780.5%1st Place
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6.5Drexel University-1.190.0%1st Place
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5.8Princeton University-0.920.0%1st Place
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6.63St. John's College-1.310.0%1st Place
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9.8Syracuse University-3.330.0%1st Place
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8.6University of Maryland/Baltimore County-2.450.0%1st Place
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8.22Catholic University of America-2.140.0%1st Place
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7.0University of Delaware-1.570.0%1st Place
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3.6U. S. Naval Academy0.270.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joseph Marynowski | 27.9% | 30.9% | 23.5% | 12.0% | 4.4% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Imogene Nuss | 3.8% | 5.1% | 9.7% | 12.8% | 16.8% | 17.7% | 12.3% | 12.0% | 7.4% | 2.1% | 0.3% |
| Sean Trudell | 45.2% | 32.3% | 13.6% | 6.5% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nathaniel Adams | 2.0% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 9.3% | 11.9% | 15.3% | 16.1% | 15.5% | 12.0% | 6.7% | 2.3% |
| Evelyn Walsh | 3.4% | 4.4% | 8.6% | 13.5% | 15.8% | 15.4% | 13.7% | 11.8% | 8.5% | 3.9% | 1.0% |
| Silas Hodges | 1.7% | 2.6% | 5.6% | 9.0% | 11.6% | 15.3% | 16.3% | 14.7% | 12.2% | 8.8% | 2.2% |
| Finn Halstead | 0.2% | 0.4% | 1.3% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 8.6% | 18.1% | 56.2% |
| John TIS | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 7.9% | 9.2% | 10.9% | 15.9% | 25.7% | 20.4% |
| John Anthony Caraig | 1.1% | 1.0% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 14.1% | 18.1% | 23.6% | 13.6% |
| Ethan Deutsch | 1.8% | 2.6% | 4.3% | 7.4% | 11.7% | 10.7% | 15.2% | 14.5% | 16.7% | 11.1% | 4.0% |
| Logan Hayes | 12.0% | 15.4% | 23.6% | 21.4% | 13.9% | 7.5% | 4.0% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.