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📊 Prediction Accuracy
70.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1St. Mary's College of Maryland0.94+1.29vs Predicted
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2U. S. Naval Academy1.17+0.02vs Predicted
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3U. S. Naval Academy0.28+0.04vs Predicted
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5Catholic University of America-1.34+0.29vs Predicted
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6Washington College-0.87-1.44vs Predicted
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7Catholic University of America-2.90+0.58vs Predicted
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9University of Delaware-2.96-1.27vs Predicted
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10University of Maryland/Baltimore County-1.44-4.60vs Predicted
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11Syracuse University-3.39-2.76vs Predicted
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12St. John's College-3.87-3.14vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.29St. Mary's College of Maryland0.940.3%1st Place
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2.02U. S. Naval Academy1.170.4%1st Place
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3.04U. S. Naval Academy0.280.2%1st Place
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5.29Catholic University of America-1.340.0%1st Place
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4.56Washington College-0.870.1%1st Place
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7.58Catholic University of America-2.900.0%1st Place
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7.73University of Delaware-2.960.0%1st Place
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5.4University of Maryland/Baltimore County-1.440.0%1st Place
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8.24Syracuse University-3.390.0%1st Place
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8.86St. John's College-3.870.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Scott Opert | 33.1% | 30.0% | 19.4% | 11.4% | 4.8% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Robert Ziman | 39.6% | 30.2% | 20.8% | 7.6% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Linnea Forsberg | 15.4% | 19.4% | 30.6% | 20.2% | 10.6% | 2.9% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lucas Randle | 2.6% | 4.1% | 6.7% | 16.4% | 22.6% | 25.0% | 13.5% | 7.2% | 1.6% | 0.3% |
| Austin Latimer | 5.2% | 8.3% | 11.4% | 21.9% | 23.3% | 18.3% | 7.9% | 2.7% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Christian Aron | 0.3% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 9.6% | 19.2% | 24.1% | 21.0% | 13.2% |
| Brendan van Riper | 0.7% | 0.6% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 4.8% | 8.8% | 19.9% | 25.5% | 22.2% | 13.7% |
| Henry Powell | 2.2% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 13.2% | 21.4% | 23.8% | 16.7% | 7.8% | 2.4% | 0.3% |
| Antonio Aaron | 0.7% | 0.3% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 3.2% | 6.4% | 13.1% | 18.8% | 30.9% | 23.8% |
| Lukas Walker | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 1.1% | 2.4% | 3.7% | 8.6% | 13.8% | 20.9% | 48.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.