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📊 Prediction Accuracy
55.6%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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2U. S. Naval Academy1.17+0.02vs Predicted
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3Washington College-0.87+1.70vs Predicted
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4Catholic University of America-1.34+1.20vs Predicted
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5University of Maryland/Baltimore County-1.44+0.26vs Predicted
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6St. Mary's College of Maryland0.94-3.77vs Predicted
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7U. S. Naval Academy0.28-3.99vs Predicted
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9Catholic University of America-2.90-1.66vs Predicted
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10Syracuse University-3.39-2.14vs Predicted
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11University of Delaware-2.96-3.62vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.02U. S. Naval Academy1.170.4%1st Place
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4.7Washington College-0.870.0%1st Place
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5.2Catholic University of America-1.340.0%1st Place
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5.26University of Maryland/Baltimore County-1.440.0%1st Place
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2.23St. Mary's College of Maryland0.940.3%1st Place
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3.01U. S. Naval Academy0.280.2%1st Place
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7.34Catholic University of America-2.900.0%1st Place
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7.86Syracuse University-3.390.0%1st Place
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7.38University of Delaware-2.960.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Robert Ziman | 40.0% | 31.4% | 19.2% | 6.5% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Austin Latimer | 3.3% | 5.9% | 11.3% | 23.8% | 25.1% | 17.8% | 9.4% | 2.9% | 0.5% |
| Lucas Randle | 2.7% | 4.7% | 6.9% | 17.1% | 22.9% | 23.1% | 16.3% | 5.5% | 0.8% |
| Henry Powell | 2.7% | 4.5% | 7.1% | 15.3% | 20.8% | 28.0% | 14.2% | 5.8% | 1.6% |
| Scott Opert | 34.2% | 30.3% | 20.4% | 10.2% | 3.5% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Linnea Forsberg | 15.2% | 20.7% | 31.1% | 18.0% | 11.6% | 2.6% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Christian Aron | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.5% | 3.2% | 5.3% | 11.1% | 22.7% | 31.3% | 23.6% |
| Antonio Aaron | 0.3% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 7.2% | 15.0% | 24.3% | 46.0% |
| Brendan van Riper | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 3.8% | 5.8% | 8.3% | 21.6% | 29.8% | 27.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.