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📊 Prediction Accuracy
55.6%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Washington College-0.87+3.60vs Predicted
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3St. Mary's College of Maryland0.94-0.64vs Predicted
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4U. S. Naval Academy1.17-1.97vs Predicted
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5U. S. Naval Academy0.28-2.04vs Predicted
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6University of Maryland/Baltimore County-1.44-0.73vs Predicted
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7Catholic University of America-1.34-1.79vs Predicted
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9Catholic University of America-2.90-1.66vs Predicted
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10Syracuse University-3.39-2.15vs Predicted
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11University of Delaware-2.96-3.62vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.6Washington College-0.870.1%1st Place
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2.36St. Mary's College of Maryland0.940.3%1st Place
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2.03U. S. Naval Academy1.170.4%1st Place
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2.96U. S. Naval Academy0.280.2%1st Place
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5.27University of Maryland/Baltimore County-1.440.0%1st Place
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5.21Catholic University of America-1.340.0%1st Place
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7.34Catholic University of America-2.900.0%1st Place
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7.85Syracuse University-3.390.0%1st Place
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7.38University of Delaware-2.960.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Austin Latimer | 5.8% | 6.0% | 10.6% | 22.5% | 24.3% | 19.3% | 9.4% | 1.9% | 0.2% |
| Scott Opert | 28.0% | 31.4% | 23.2% | 12.4% | 3.9% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Robert Ziman | 40.9% | 30.1% | 18.5% | 6.8% | 3.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Linnea Forsberg | 17.9% | 20.5% | 27.5% | 20.7% | 9.2% | 3.5% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Henry Powell | 2.5% | 4.3% | 9.0% | 14.7% | 22.0% | 23.4% | 14.5% | 7.8% | 1.8% |
| Lucas Randle | 3.0% | 4.9% | 7.4% | 14.2% | 22.5% | 25.9% | 16.6% | 4.6% | 0.9% |
| Christian Aron | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 3.4% | 5.8% | 9.7% | 23.3% | 31.2% | 23.8% |
| Antonio Aaron | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 2.0% | 4.4% | 6.6% | 14.3% | 24.2% | 46.4% |
| Brendan van Riper | 0.6% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 10.2% | 21.1% | 30.3% | 26.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.