Race 5B

washington-fall-open

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

60.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Robert Ziman 41.6% 29.6% 17.1% 8.2% 2.5% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Scott Opert 31.4% 31.2% 23.0% 9.8% 3.8% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Linnea Forsberg 16.3% 18.6% 27.7% 23.6% 10.0% 3.0% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Austin Latimer 3.4% 7.1% 13.6% 21.9% 24.0% 17.5% 8.6% 3.0% 0.8% 0.1%
Henry Powell 3.0% 5.4% 7.4% 11.3% 19.9% 23.8% 18.0% 7.6% 3.1% 0.5%
Brendan van Riper 0.3% 1.5% 1.7% 3.1% 5.5% 8.8% 17.0% 21.5% 23.1% 17.5%
Lucas Randle 2.4% 4.9% 6.3% 15.0% 21.9% 24.6% 14.6% 7.4% 2.2% 0.7%
Christian Aron 0.6% 0.8% 1.6% 3.4% 6.9% 8.6% 17.9% 24.4% 20.2% 15.6%
Leo Schumwinger 0.8% 0.3% 0.9% 1.9% 2.7% 5.8% 10.6% 18.5% 26.6% 31.9%
Antonio Aaron 0.2% 0.6% 0.7% 1.8% 2.8% 6.4% 12.4% 17.4% 24.0% 33.7%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.