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📊 Prediction Accuracy
90.9%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Naval Academy1.17+1.20vs Predicted
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2U. S. Naval Academy0.28+1.30vs Predicted
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3Princeton University-0.59+1.86vs Predicted
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4St. Mary's College of Maryland0.94-1.48vs Predicted
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5Catholic University of America-1.34+0.99vs Predicted
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6Washington College-0.87-0.75vs Predicted
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8University of Maryland/Baltimore County-1.44-1.95vs Predicted
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9Catholic University of America-2.90-0.44vs Predicted
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10Syracuse University-3.39-0.63vs Predicted
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11St. John's College-3.40-1.70vs Predicted
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12University of Delaware-2.96-3.39vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.2U. S. Naval Academy1.170.4%1st Place
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3.3U. S. Naval Academy0.280.2%1st Place
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4.86Princeton University-0.590.1%1st Place
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2.52St. Mary's College of Maryland0.940.3%1st Place
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5.99Catholic University of America-1.340.0%1st Place
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5.25Washington College-0.870.0%1st Place
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6.05University of Maryland/Baltimore County-1.440.0%1st Place
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8.56Catholic University of America-2.900.0%1st Place
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9.37Syracuse University-3.390.0%1st Place
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9.3St. John's College-3.400.0%1st Place
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8.61University of Delaware-2.960.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Robert Ziman | 36.4% | 29.2% | 19.8% | 9.5% | 3.5% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Linnea Forsberg | 15.4% | 18.0% | 24.5% | 19.0% | 13.5% | 6.5% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Berkley Yiu | 6.4% | 7.7% | 9.6% | 17.7% | 18.5% | 18.8% | 13.1% | 6.1% | 1.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Scott Opert | 27.7% | 27.1% | 23.2% | 13.1% | 6.0% | 2.3% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lucas Randle | 3.5% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 9.8% | 15.3% | 16.3% | 18.4% | 15.6% | 8.0% | 2.6% | 0.4% |
| Austin Latimer | 4.4% | 6.4% | 9.3% | 14.5% | 18.2% | 18.8% | 16.8% | 6.3% | 3.7% | 1.3% | 0.3% |
| Henry Powell | 3.4% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 9.9% | 12.8% | 18.6% | 19.9% | 13.7% | 9.2% | 2.5% | 0.5% |
| Christian Aron | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 3.1% | 6.6% | 9.6% | 17.1% | 21.0% | 23.0% | 15.0% |
| Antonio Aaron | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 5.3% | 10.4% | 18.0% | 24.4% | 34.1% |
| Leo Schumwinger | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 12.9% | 15.9% | 22.8% | 34.5% |
| Brendan van Riper | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 2.2% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 9.1% | 17.0% | 22.2% | 23.1% | 15.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.