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📊 Prediction Accuracy
63.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Naval Academy0.28+2.41vs Predicted
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2St. Mary's College of Maryland0.94+0.42vs Predicted
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3U. S. Naval Academy1.17-0.81vs Predicted
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4Washington College-0.87+1.38vs Predicted
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5University of Maryland/Baltimore County-1.44+1.21vs Predicted
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7Princeton University-0.59-2.17vs Predicted
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8Catholic University of America-2.90+0.63vs Predicted
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9Catholic University of America-1.34-2.95vs Predicted
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10Syracuse University-2.80-1.36vs Predicted
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11St. John's College-3.40-1.53vs Predicted
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12University of Delaware-2.96-3.23vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.41U. S. Naval Academy0.280.1%1st Place
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2.42St. Mary's College of Maryland0.940.3%1st Place
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2.19U. S. Naval Academy1.170.4%1st Place
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5.38Washington College-0.870.0%1st Place
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6.21University of Maryland/Baltimore County-1.440.0%1st Place
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4.83Princeton University-0.590.1%1st Place
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8.63Catholic University of America-2.900.0%1st Place
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6.05Catholic University of America-1.340.0%1st Place
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8.64Syracuse University-2.800.0%1st Place
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9.47St. John's College-3.400.0%1st Place
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8.77University of Delaware-2.960.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Linnea Forsberg | 14.2% | 16.7% | 24.4% | 19.2% | 14.6% | 6.8% | 3.3% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Scott Opert | 31.6% | 27.5% | 19.5% | 12.8% | 5.9% | 2.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Robert Ziman | 35.9% | 30.7% | 19.4% | 8.2% | 4.8% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Austin Latimer | 4.0% | 5.7% | 9.7% | 12.1% | 16.9% | 22.0% | 15.7% | 8.0% | 4.6% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Henry Powell | 3.0% | 3.3% | 6.4% | 10.1% | 10.5% | 16.5% | 20.0% | 16.6% | 8.9% | 3.9% | 0.8% |
| Berkley Yiu | 5.9% | 9.2% | 11.1% | 17.1% | 19.5% | 16.6% | 10.2% | 6.1% | 3.5% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Christian Aron | 0.5% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 5.1% | 9.0% | 14.9% | 18.2% | 24.2% | 18.9% |
| Lucas Randle | 3.2% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 11.2% | 14.1% | 17.7% | 19.3% | 14.1% | 8.4% | 2.8% | 0.6% |
| Emily Geraghty | 0.6% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 5.5% | 8.0% | 14.5% | 22.5% | 21.5% | 18.8% |
| Leo Schumwinger | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 1.4% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 6.1% | 9.9% | 14.0% | 21.5% | 40.8% |
| Brendan van Riper | 0.7% | 0.3% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 7.9% | 15.2% | 19.7% | 24.2% | 19.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.