← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
90.9%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Naval Academy1.17+1.19vs Predicted
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2St. Mary's College of Maryland0.94+0.43vs Predicted
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3Princeton University-0.59+1.85vs Predicted
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4U. S. Naval Academy0.28-0.57vs Predicted
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5Washington College-0.87+0.24vs Predicted
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6Catholic University of America-1.34+0.06vs Predicted
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8University of Maryland/Baltimore County-1.44-1.92vs Predicted
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9Catholic University of America-2.90-0.44vs Predicted
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10Syracuse University-2.80-1.47vs Predicted
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11St. John's College-4.01-0.97vs Predicted
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12University of Delaware-2.96-3.38vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.19U. S. Naval Academy1.170.4%1st Place
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2.43St. Mary's College of Maryland0.940.3%1st Place
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4.85Princeton University-0.590.1%1st Place
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3.43U. S. Naval Academy0.280.1%1st Place
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5.24Washington College-0.870.1%1st Place
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6.06Catholic University of America-1.340.0%1st Place
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6.08University of Maryland/Baltimore County-1.440.0%1st Place
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8.56Catholic University of America-2.900.0%1st Place
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8.53Syracuse University-2.800.0%1st Place
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10.03St. John's College-4.010.0%1st Place
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8.62University of Delaware-2.960.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Robert Ziman | 35.4% | 30.9% | 19.8% | 9.2% | 3.1% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Scott Opert | 30.4% | 27.7% | 21.6% | 11.8% | 6.2% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Berkley Yiu | 6.5% | 6.9% | 12.4% | 15.2% | 20.4% | 17.5% | 12.0% | 7.0% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Linnea Forsberg | 14.3% | 16.7% | 22.2% | 21.6% | 13.9% | 7.7% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Austin Latimer | 5.1% | 6.6% | 9.6% | 14.9% | 15.9% | 17.5% | 16.6% | 8.9% | 3.9% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Lucas Randle | 2.5% | 4.1% | 6.1% | 9.5% | 14.4% | 18.6% | 18.7% | 14.6% | 8.4% | 2.3% | 0.8% |
| Henry Powell | 3.1% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 10.1% | 14.4% | 17.0% | 19.7% | 14.3% | 8.2% | 3.7% | 0.4% |
| Christian Aron | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 6.7% | 9.5% | 16.8% | 19.7% | 25.5% | 13.9% |
| Emily Geraghty | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 2.6% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 8.5% | 16.3% | 23.7% | 23.1% | 13.8% |
| David Lowry | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 3.4% | 5.5% | 11.3% | 19.4% | 56.4% |
| Brendan van Riper | 0.7% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 2.2% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 8.8% | 15.1% | 22.9% | 24.6% | 14.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.