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📊 Prediction Accuracy
72.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Naval Academy0.28+2.37vs Predicted
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2U. S. Naval Academy1.17+0.16vs Predicted
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3St. Mary's College of Maryland0.94-0.51vs Predicted
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4Washington College-0.87+1.33vs Predicted
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6Princeton University-0.59-1.27vs Predicted
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7Catholic University of America-1.34-0.95vs Predicted
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8Syracuse University-2.80+0.35vs Predicted
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9Catholic University of America-2.90-0.40vs Predicted
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10University of Maryland/Baltimore County-1.44-3.78vs Predicted
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11St. John's College-4.01-0.97vs Predicted
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12University of Delaware-2.96-3.34vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.37U. S. Naval Academy0.280.1%1st Place
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2.16U. S. Naval Academy1.170.4%1st Place
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2.49St. Mary's College of Maryland0.940.3%1st Place
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5.33Washington College-0.870.0%1st Place
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4.73Princeton University-0.590.1%1st Place
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6.05Catholic University of America-1.340.0%1st Place
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8.35Syracuse University-2.800.0%1st Place
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8.6Catholic University of America-2.900.0%1st Place
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6.22University of Maryland/Baltimore County-1.440.0%1st Place
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10.03St. John's College-4.010.0%1st Place
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8.66University of Delaware-2.960.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Linnea Forsberg | 14.6% | 17.7% | 22.4% | 21.5% | 14.0% | 6.5% | 2.3% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Robert Ziman | 39.3% | 27.6% | 18.4% | 8.6% | 4.8% | 1.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Scott Opert | 28.1% | 28.1% | 22.3% | 13.2% | 5.5% | 2.4% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Austin Latimer | 4.0% | 6.5% | 8.4% | 12.6% | 19.5% | 20.0% | 15.3% | 8.2% | 4.3% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| Berkley Yiu | 6.5% | 7.8% | 13.0% | 18.6% | 17.2% | 18.2% | 10.1% | 6.3% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Lucas Randle | 2.3% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 9.3% | 14.8% | 16.8% | 19.6% | 14.3% | 8.9% | 2.5% | 0.5% |
| Emily Geraghty | 0.4% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 5.3% | 11.7% | 16.6% | 20.4% | 25.1% | 10.5% |
| Christian Aron | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 2.0% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 10.1% | 16.9% | 21.3% | 23.2% | 15.6% |
| Henry Powell | 2.9% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 8.2% | 13.1% | 17.3% | 18.9% | 16.2% | 9.9% | 3.1% | 1.1% |
| David Lowry | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 6.2% | 10.5% | 18.5% | 57.5% |
| Brendan van Riper | 0.7% | 0.4% | 1.3% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 5.3% | 8.9% | 14.5% | 22.6% | 25.8% | 14.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.