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📊 Prediction Accuracy
81.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1St. Mary's College of Maryland0.94+1.46vs Predicted
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2U. S. Naval Academy1.17+0.16vs Predicted
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3U. S. Naval Academy0.28+0.47vs Predicted
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4Princeton University-0.59+0.86vs Predicted
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5Washington College-0.87+0.27vs Predicted
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6Catholic University of America-1.34+0.10vs Predicted
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7University of Maryland/Baltimore County-1.44-0.89vs Predicted
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8St. John's College-3.40+1.45vs Predicted
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10Catholic University of America-2.90-1.21vs Predicted
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11Syracuse University-2.80-2.44vs Predicted
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12University of Delaware-2.96-3.24vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.46St. Mary's College of Maryland0.940.3%1st Place
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2.16U. S. Naval Academy1.170.4%1st Place
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3.47U. S. Naval Academy0.280.1%1st Place
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4.86Princeton University-0.590.1%1st Place
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5.27Washington College-0.870.1%1st Place
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6.1Catholic University of America-1.340.0%1st Place
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6.11University of Maryland/Baltimore County-1.440.0%1st Place
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9.45St. John's College-3.400.0%1st Place
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8.79Catholic University of America-2.900.0%1st Place
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8.56Syracuse University-2.800.0%1st Place
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8.76University of Delaware-2.960.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Scott Opert | 28.5% | 28.6% | 22.4% | 12.8% | 5.4% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Robert Ziman | 38.2% | 28.2% | 19.5% | 9.1% | 3.6% | 1.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Linnea Forsberg | 13.8% | 16.7% | 23.6% | 19.1% | 14.3% | 8.1% | 2.9% | 1.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Berkley Yiu | 5.6% | 7.5% | 11.1% | 17.6% | 19.0% | 19.0% | 11.7% | 6.2% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Austin Latimer | 5.4% | 6.4% | 9.2% | 14.6% | 16.6% | 16.3% | 17.5% | 8.5% | 4.2% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Lucas Randle | 2.5% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 9.2% | 15.0% | 17.7% | 18.7% | 12.7% | 9.7% | 3.6% | 0.8% |
| Henry Powell | 3.4% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 9.2% | 13.9% | 17.1% | 18.6% | 15.2% | 9.3% | 3.1% | 0.8% |
| Leo Schumwinger | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 4.9% | 10.0% | 16.2% | 20.3% | 40.5% |
| Christian Aron | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 13.9% | 20.4% | 25.7% | 19.8% |
| Emily Geraghty | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 6.0% | 9.6% | 16.6% | 19.0% | 21.9% | 17.7% |
| Brendan van Riper | 0.6% | 0.3% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 5.1% | 8.6% | 15.3% | 19.4% | 23.6% | 20.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.