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📊 Prediction Accuracy
72.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Naval Academy0.28+2.43vs Predicted
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2U. S. Naval Academy1.17+0.17vs Predicted
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3St. Mary's College of Maryland0.94-0.50vs Predicted
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4Washington College-0.87+1.34vs Predicted
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5Catholic University of America-1.34+1.08vs Predicted
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6Princeton University-0.59-1.19vs Predicted
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8University of Maryland/Baltimore County-1.44-1.90vs Predicted
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9Catholic University of America-2.90-0.31vs Predicted
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10St. John's College-3.40-0.48vs Predicted
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11Syracuse University-2.80-2.41vs Predicted
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12University of Delaware-2.96-3.23vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.43U. S. Naval Academy0.280.1%1st Place
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2.17U. S. Naval Academy1.170.4%1st Place
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2.5St. Mary's College of Maryland0.940.3%1st Place
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5.34Washington College-0.870.0%1st Place
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6.08Catholic University of America-1.340.0%1st Place
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4.81Princeton University-0.590.1%1st Place
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6.1University of Maryland/Baltimore County-1.440.0%1st Place
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8.69Catholic University of America-2.900.0%1st Place
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9.52St. John's College-3.400.0%1st Place
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8.59Syracuse University-2.800.0%1st Place
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8.77University of Delaware-2.960.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Linnea Forsberg | 14.2% | 17.3% | 22.6% | 19.7% | 14.9% | 7.3% | 2.8% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Robert Ziman | 38.4% | 28.1% | 18.1% | 10.6% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Scott Opert | 27.3% | 29.0% | 22.1% | 12.5% | 6.5% | 2.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Austin Latimer | 3.9% | 6.0% | 9.4% | 12.9% | 19.1% | 18.3% | 16.5% | 8.6% | 4.5% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Lucas Randle | 3.3% | 3.5% | 7.0% | 9.7% | 13.7% | 15.8% | 19.1% | 15.0% | 8.7% | 3.8% | 0.4% |
| Berkley Yiu | 6.2% | 9.0% | 11.3% | 18.4% | 17.2% | 17.7% | 9.2% | 7.2% | 2.7% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Henry Powell | 3.8% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 9.2% | 13.0% | 17.1% | 19.1% | 14.7% | 9.1% | 3.3% | 1.0% |
| Christian Aron | 1.0% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 1.6% | 3.2% | 6.2% | 9.2% | 15.6% | 18.1% | 24.8% | 18.6% |
| Leo Schumwinger | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 4.9% | 8.4% | 16.2% | 19.4% | 43.2% |
| Emily Geraghty | 0.7% | 0.5% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 3.9% | 5.9% | 9.9% | 15.3% | 19.6% | 23.8% | 16.6% |
| Brendan van Riper | 0.7% | 0.3% | 1.0% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 5.8% | 8.5% | 14.0% | 21.0% | 23.4% | 19.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.