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📊 Prediction Accuracy
63.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1St. Mary's College of Maryland0.94+1.46vs Predicted
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2Princeton University-0.59+2.75vs Predicted
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3U. S. Naval Academy0.28+0.43vs Predicted
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4U. S. Naval Academy1.17-1.76vs Predicted
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5University of Maryland/Baltimore County-1.44+1.25vs Predicted
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6Washington College-0.87-0.68vs Predicted
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8Catholic University of America-1.34-2.02vs Predicted
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9Syracuse University-2.80-0.45vs Predicted
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10St. John's College-3.40-0.48vs Predicted
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11Catholic University of America-2.90-2.27vs Predicted
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12University of Delaware-2.96-3.23vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.46St. Mary's College of Maryland0.940.3%1st Place
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4.75Princeton University-0.590.1%1st Place
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3.43U. S. Naval Academy0.280.1%1st Place
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2.24U. S. Naval Academy1.170.4%1st Place
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6.25University of Maryland/Baltimore County-1.440.0%1st Place
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5.32Washington College-0.870.0%1st Place
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5.98Catholic University of America-1.340.0%1st Place
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8.55Syracuse University-2.800.0%1st Place
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9.52St. John's College-3.400.0%1st Place
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8.73Catholic University of America-2.900.0%1st Place
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8.77University of Delaware-2.960.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Scott Opert | 29.2% | 27.8% | 22.2% | 13.0% | 5.6% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Berkley Yiu | 7.6% | 7.2% | 10.8% | 18.7% | 19.6% | 16.1% | 11.3% | 6.4% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Linnea Forsberg | 14.1% | 17.7% | 22.4% | 19.9% | 13.3% | 8.7% | 3.2% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Robert Ziman | 35.6% | 28.7% | 19.7% | 10.1% | 4.0% | 1.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Henry Powell | 2.9% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 9.0% | 12.1% | 15.7% | 19.1% | 15.7% | 10.7% | 4.5% | 0.6% |
| Austin Latimer | 4.3% | 6.3% | 9.9% | 12.6% | 18.8% | 18.9% | 15.2% | 7.6% | 4.4% | 1.6% | 0.4% |
| Lucas Randle | 3.9% | 4.4% | 6.4% | 8.7% | 14.5% | 17.8% | 19.0% | 13.6% | 8.2% | 2.5% | 1.0% |
| Emily Geraghty | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 7.1% | 9.3% | 17.0% | 19.4% | 23.0% | 16.1% |
| Leo Schumwinger | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 9.4% | 15.7% | 19.2% | 43.3% |
| Christian Aron | 0.5% | 0.6% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 3.6% | 5.6% | 8.0% | 15.4% | 18.8% | 24.8% | 19.2% |
| Brendan van Riper | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 2.4% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 9.6% | 14.2% | 20.9% | 23.8% | 19.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.