← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.5
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Yale University2.75+6.66vs Predicted
-
2University of Pennsylvania2.06+8.54vs Predicted
-
3U. S. Naval Academy2.40+6.00vs Predicted
-
4Cornell University2.69+3.53vs Predicted
-
5Georgetown University2.55+3.16vs Predicted
-
6Boston College2.82+1.10vs Predicted
-
7Old Dominion University0.81+7.71vs Predicted
-
8Roger Williams University2.06+2.20vs Predicted
-
9Brown University2.29+0.28vs Predicted
-
10Tulane University2.37-0.79vs Predicted
-
11Northeastern University2.03-0.45vs Predicted
-
12Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.34+1.42vs Predicted
-
13Stanford University3.39-8.03vs Predicted
-
14Tufts University1.62-2.34vs Predicted
-
15Dartmouth College2.55-6.84vs Predicted
-
16College of Charleston2.04-5.59vs Predicted
-
17Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.12-6.92vs Predicted
-
18Harvard University2.47-9.64vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
7.66Yale University2.750.1%1st Place
-
10.54University of Pennsylvania2.060.0%1st Place
-
9.0U. S. Naval Academy2.400.1%1st Place
-
7.53Cornell University2.690.1%1st Place
-
8.16Georgetown University2.550.1%1st Place
-
7.1Boston College2.820.1%1st Place
-
14.71Old Dominion University0.810.0%1st Place
-
10.2Roger Williams University2.060.0%1st Place
-
9.28Brown University2.290.0%1st Place
-
9.21Tulane University2.370.1%1st Place
-
10.55Northeastern University2.030.0%1st Place
-
13.42Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.340.0%1st Place
-
4.97Stanford University3.390.1%1st Place
-
11.66Tufts University1.620.0%1st Place
-
8.16Dartmouth College2.550.1%1st Place
-
10.41College of Charleston2.040.0%1st Place
-
10.08Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.120.0%1st Place
-
8.36Harvard University2.470.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carmen Cowles | 7.3% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 1.4% | 0.2% |
| Sofia Segalla | 2.7% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 3.2% |
| Eva Blauvelt | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 8.5% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 0.9% |
| Bridget Green | 7.6% | 7.6% | 9.8% | 6.3% | 8.3% | 5.9% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 0.5% |
| Piper Holthus | 6.4% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 2.4% | 1.0% |
| Caroline Sibilly | 9.3% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 0.7% |
| Gianna Dewey | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 4.6% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 15.8% | 39.6% |
| Lucy Meagher | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 6.4% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 3.8% |
| Katharine Doble | 4.2% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 3.6% | 1.8% |
| Samantha Gardner | 6.0% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 3.4% | 1.7% |
| Eva Ermlich | 4.4% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 8.7% | 7.1% | 4.8% |
| Deana Fedulova | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 15.7% | 22.0% |
| Vanessa Lahrkamp | 14.8% | 15.8% | 12.3% | 10.3% | 9.4% | 8.8% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Ella Hubbard | 3.1% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 8.7% | 9.6% | 11.7% | 9.8% |
| Sarah Young | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 6.2% | 8.5% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 0.6% |
| Emma Tallman | 3.5% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 4.6% |
| Brooke Schmelz | 4.6% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 3.6% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 3.4% |
| Cordelia Burn | 6.9% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 1.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.