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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston2.04+9.50vs Predicted
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2Brown University2.29+7.54vs Predicted
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3Yale University2.75+4.64vs Predicted
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4Stanford University3.39+1.02vs Predicted
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5Georgetown University2.55+3.16vs Predicted
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6Boston College2.82+1.15vs Predicted
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7U. S. Naval Academy2.40+1.80vs Predicted
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8University of Pennsylvania2.06+2.14vs Predicted
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9Tulane University2.37-0.10vs Predicted
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10Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.12+0.30vs Predicted
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11Tufts University1.62+1.11vs Predicted
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12Cornell University2.69-4.07vs Predicted
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13Roger Williams University2.06-2.92vs Predicted
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14Dartmouth College2.55-5.99vs Predicted
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15Harvard University2.47-6.55vs Predicted
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16Northeastern University2.03-5.57vs Predicted
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17Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.34-3.76vs Predicted
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18Old Dominion University0.81-3.38vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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10.5College of Charleston2.040.0%1st Place
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9.54Brown University2.290.0%1st Place
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7.64Yale University2.750.1%1st Place
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5.02Stanford University3.390.2%1st Place
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8.16Georgetown University2.550.1%1st Place
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7.15Boston College2.820.1%1st Place
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8.8U. S. Naval Academy2.400.1%1st Place
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10.14University of Pennsylvania2.060.0%1st Place
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8.9Tulane University2.370.0%1st Place
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10.3Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.120.0%1st Place
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12.11Tufts University1.620.0%1st Place
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7.93Cornell University2.690.1%1st Place
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10.08Roger Williams University2.060.0%1st Place
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8.01Dartmouth College2.550.1%1st Place
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8.45Harvard University2.470.1%1st Place
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10.43Northeastern University2.030.0%1st Place
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13.24Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.340.0%1st Place
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14.62Old Dominion University0.810.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emma Tallman | 4.0% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 3.4% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 4.8% |
| Katharine Doble | 4.3% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 1.4% |
| Carmen Cowles | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 3.4% | 6.1% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 0.4% |
| Vanessa Lahrkamp | 15.7% | 14.7% | 12.5% | 10.1% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Piper Holthus | 6.7% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 5.1% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 1.2% |
| Caroline Sibilly | 8.0% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 0.8% |
| Eva Blauvelt | 6.0% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 4.4% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 4.8% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 2.4% |
| Sofia Segalla | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 3.4% |
| Samantha Gardner | 4.8% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 4.5% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 2.6% | 1.4% |
| Brooke Schmelz | 4.9% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 3.7% |
| Ella Hubbard | 3.9% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 8.7% | 11.0% | 11.5% | 11.9% |
| Bridget Green | 6.9% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 1.9% | 0.5% |
| Lucy Meagher | 4.9% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 8.4% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 4.0% |
| Sarah Young | 6.2% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 2.2% | 0.8% |
| Cordelia Burn | 5.5% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 1.5% |
| Eva Ermlich | 3.2% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 5.0% |
| Deana Fedulova | 2.4% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 4.1% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 11.2% | 16.4% | 19.2% |
| Gianna Dewey | 1.6% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 8.5% | 14.2% | 37.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.