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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.7
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University3.39+4.24vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.12+8.27vs Predicted
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3Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.34+10.30vs Predicted
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4Dartmouth College2.55+4.17vs Predicted
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5University of Pennsylvania2.06+5.12vs Predicted
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6Yale University2.75+1.41vs Predicted
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7College of Charleston2.04+3.32vs Predicted
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8Georgetown University2.55+0.15vs Predicted
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9Harvard University2.47-0.47vs Predicted
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10Old Dominion University0.81+4.92vs Predicted
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11Roger Williams University2.06-0.58vs Predicted
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12Boston College2.82-4.56vs Predicted
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13Tulane University2.37-4.16vs Predicted
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14Cornell University2.69-6.64vs Predicted
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15Tufts University1.62-3.05vs Predicted
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16U. S. Naval Academy2.40-7.07vs Predicted
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17Northeastern University2.03-6.52vs Predicted
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18Brown University2.29-8.85vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.24Stanford University3.390.1%1st Place
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10.27Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.120.0%1st Place
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13.3Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.340.0%1st Place
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8.17Dartmouth College2.550.1%1st Place
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10.12University of Pennsylvania2.060.0%1st Place
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7.41Yale University2.750.1%1st Place
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10.32College of Charleston2.040.0%1st Place
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8.15Georgetown University2.550.1%1st Place
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8.53Harvard University2.470.0%1st Place
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14.92Old Dominion University0.810.0%1st Place
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10.42Roger Williams University2.060.0%1st Place
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7.44Boston College2.820.1%1st Place
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8.84Tulane University2.370.1%1st Place
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7.36Cornell University2.690.1%1st Place
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11.95Tufts University1.620.0%1st Place
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8.93U. S. Naval Academy2.400.1%1st Place
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10.48Northeastern University2.030.0%1st Place
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9.15Brown University2.290.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vanessa Lahrkamp | 14.0% | 14.0% | 12.2% | 10.4% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Brooke Schmelz | 3.7% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 2.9% |
| Deana Fedulova | 1.5% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 10.1% | 10.8% | 15.1% | 19.5% |
| Sarah Young | 6.8% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 8.1% | 4.9% | 8.5% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 0.7% |
| Sofia Segalla | 4.3% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 4.0% |
| Carmen Cowles | 8.2% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 0.7% |
| Emma Tallman | 4.2% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 4.7% |
| Piper Holthus | 6.5% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 1.0% |
| Cordelia Burn | 4.9% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 1.2% |
| Gianna Dewey | 1.4% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 14.6% | 41.3% |
| Lucy Meagher | 4.8% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 4.0% |
| Caroline Sibilly | 7.6% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| Samantha Gardner | 6.8% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 6.1% | 3.0% | 1.9% |
| Bridget Green | 8.0% | 8.8% | 9.9% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 0.2% |
| Ella Hubbard | 2.8% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 10.2% | 12.2% | 9.7% |
| Eva Blauvelt | 5.2% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 1.5% |
| Eva Ermlich | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 4.3% |
| Katharine Doble | 5.3% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 5.4% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 2.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.