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📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University3.39+4.28vs Predicted
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2College of Charleston2.04+8.57vs Predicted
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3Yale University2.75+4.61vs Predicted
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4Cornell University2.69+3.51vs Predicted
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5Tulane University2.37+3.87vs Predicted
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6Georgetown University2.55+2.25vs Predicted
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7U. S. Naval Academy2.40+1.80vs Predicted
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8University of Pennsylvania2.06+2.15vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.12+0.96vs Predicted
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10Dartmouth College2.55-1.53vs Predicted
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11Old Dominion University0.81+3.83vs Predicted
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12Harvard University2.47-3.12vs Predicted
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13Boston College2.82-6.01vs Predicted
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14Brown University2.29-5.00vs Predicted
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15Northeastern University2.03-4.69vs Predicted
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16Roger Williams University2.06-5.65vs Predicted
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17Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.34-3.70vs Predicted
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18Tufts University1.62-6.11vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.28Stanford University3.390.1%1st Place
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10.57College of Charleston2.040.0%1st Place
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7.61Yale University2.750.1%1st Place
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7.51Cornell University2.690.1%1st Place
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8.87Tulane University2.370.1%1st Place
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8.25Georgetown University2.550.1%1st Place
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8.8U. S. Naval Academy2.400.1%1st Place
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10.15University of Pennsylvania2.060.0%1st Place
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9.96Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.120.0%1st Place
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8.47Dartmouth College2.550.1%1st Place
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14.83Old Dominion University0.810.0%1st Place
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8.88Harvard University2.470.1%1st Place
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6.99Boston College2.820.1%1st Place
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9.0Brown University2.290.1%1st Place
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10.31Northeastern University2.030.0%1st Place
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10.35Roger Williams University2.060.0%1st Place
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13.3Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.340.0%1st Place
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11.89Tufts University1.620.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vanessa Lahrkamp | 13.6% | 14.8% | 11.9% | 10.5% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Emma Tallman | 3.5% | 2.8% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 3.3% |
| Carmen Cowles | 7.3% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 9.3% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 0.4% |
| Bridget Green | 7.6% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 0.9% |
| Samantha Gardner | 5.8% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 1.6% |
| Piper Holthus | 7.1% | 5.8% | 7.9% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 1.3% |
| Eva Blauvelt | 5.7% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 2.6% | 2.1% |
| Sofia Segalla | 4.0% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 3.4% |
| Brooke Schmelz | 4.1% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 9.0% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 2.2% |
| Sarah Young | 7.0% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 0.7% |
| Gianna Dewey | 1.9% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 8.6% | 14.4% | 40.7% |
| Cordelia Burn | 5.6% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 1.3% |
| Caroline Sibilly | 9.1% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Katharine Doble | 5.0% | 5.0% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 3.7% | 5.8% | 3.1% | 2.5% |
| Eva Ermlich | 3.7% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 4.8% |
| Lucy Meagher | 3.7% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 8.6% | 3.8% |
| Deana Fedulova | 2.0% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 3.3% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 11.1% | 15.4% | 20.6% |
| Ella Hubbard | 3.3% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 10.3% | 11.4% | 10.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.