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📊 Prediction Accuracy
11.1%
Within 2 Positions
5.0
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University3.39+4.26vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University2.06+8.53vs Predicted
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3Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.34+10.32vs Predicted
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4U. S. Naval Academy2.40+4.71vs Predicted
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5Tufts University1.62+6.88vs Predicted
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6Dartmouth College2.55+2.26vs Predicted
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7Boston College2.82+0.08vs Predicted
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8University of Pennsylvania2.06+2.18vs Predicted
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9Old Dominion University0.81+5.80vs Predicted
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10Georgetown University2.55-1.57vs Predicted
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11Yale University2.75-3.48vs Predicted
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12Cornell University2.69-3.99vs Predicted
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13Northeastern University2.03-2.74vs Predicted
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14College of Charleston2.04-4.03vs Predicted
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15Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.12-5.03vs Predicted
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16Brown University2.29-6.60vs Predicted
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17Tulane University2.37-7.90vs Predicted
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18Harvard University2.47-9.68vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.26Stanford University3.390.1%1st Place
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10.53Roger Williams University2.060.0%1st Place
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13.32Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.340.0%1st Place
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8.71U. S. Naval Academy2.400.1%1st Place
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11.88Tufts University1.620.0%1st Place
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8.26Dartmouth College2.550.1%1st Place
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7.08Boston College2.820.1%1st Place
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10.18University of Pennsylvania2.060.0%1st Place
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14.8Old Dominion University0.810.0%1st Place
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8.43Georgetown University2.550.1%1st Place
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7.52Yale University2.750.1%1st Place
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8.01Cornell University2.690.1%1st Place
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10.26Northeastern University2.030.0%1st Place
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9.97College of Charleston2.040.0%1st Place
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9.97Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.120.0%1st Place
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9.4Brown University2.290.0%1st Place
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9.1Tulane University2.370.1%1st Place
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8.32Harvard University2.470.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vanessa Lahrkamp | 15.0% | 13.7% | 11.1% | 9.8% | 10.1% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Lucy Meagher | 3.5% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 3.7% |
| Deana Fedulova | 1.8% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 8.7% | 11.7% | 15.1% | 19.5% |
| Eva Blauvelt | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 1.4% |
| Ella Hubbard | 2.8% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 9.3% | 11.6% | 12.3% |
| Sarah Young | 6.7% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 0.9% |
| Caroline Sibilly | 9.1% | 8.6% | 9.8% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 4.1% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.7% |
| Sofia Segalla | 3.4% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 4.1% |
| Gianna Dewey | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 8.0% | 15.2% | 39.8% |
| Piper Holthus | 7.3% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 0.6% |
| Carmen Cowles | 7.9% | 7.5% | 9.5% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 0.9% |
| Bridget Green | 7.0% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 0.7% |
| Eva Ermlich | 4.4% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 8.4% | 6.7% | 4.2% |
| Emma Tallman | 3.8% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 3.5% |
| Brooke Schmelz | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 2.7% |
| Katharine Doble | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 4.2% | 2.6% |
| Samantha Gardner | 5.4% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 3.6% | 1.3% |
| Cordelia Burn | 5.9% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 8.9% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 1.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.