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📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
4.4
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Pennsylvania2.06+9.42vs Predicted
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2U. S. Naval Academy2.40+7.10vs Predicted
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3Tulane University2.37+6.27vs Predicted
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4Brown University2.29+5.20vs Predicted
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5Yale University2.75+2.33vs Predicted
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6Georgetown University2.55+2.22vs Predicted
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7Boston College2.82+0.08vs Predicted
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8Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.34+4.98vs Predicted
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9College of Charleston2.04+1.32vs Predicted
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10Stanford University3.39-4.74vs Predicted
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11Cornell University2.69-3.25vs Predicted
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12Tufts University1.62+0.35vs Predicted
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13Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.12-3.20vs Predicted
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14Dartmouth College2.55-6.06vs Predicted
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15Harvard University2.47-6.55vs Predicted
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16Northeastern University2.03-5.52vs Predicted
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17Roger Williams University2.06-6.61vs Predicted
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18Old Dominion University0.81-3.34vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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10.42University of Pennsylvania2.060.0%1st Place
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9.1U. S. Naval Academy2.400.0%1st Place
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9.27Tulane University2.370.0%1st Place
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9.2Brown University2.290.1%1st Place
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7.33Yale University2.750.1%1st Place
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8.22Georgetown University2.550.1%1st Place
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7.08Boston College2.820.1%1st Place
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12.98Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.340.0%1st Place
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10.32College of Charleston2.040.0%1st Place
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5.26Stanford University3.390.2%1st Place
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7.75Cornell University2.690.1%1st Place
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12.35Tufts University1.620.0%1st Place
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9.8Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.120.0%1st Place
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7.94Dartmouth College2.550.1%1st Place
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8.45Harvard University2.470.1%1st Place
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10.48Northeastern University2.030.0%1st Place
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10.39Roger Williams University2.060.0%1st Place
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14.66Old Dominion University0.810.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sofia Segalla | 4.0% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 3.3% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 5.0% |
| Eva Blauvelt | 4.6% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 1.3% |
| Samantha Gardner | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 1.5% |
| Katharine Doble | 5.5% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 4.2% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 3.5% | 2.6% |
| Carmen Cowles | 8.7% | 9.6% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 0.5% |
| Piper Holthus | 7.3% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 1.1% |
| Caroline Sibilly | 8.6% | 10.4% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 3.6% | 5.3% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 0.5% |
| Deana Fedulova | 2.3% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 8.0% | 10.1% | 15.8% | 18.3% |
| Emma Tallman | 3.8% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 8.7% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 5.0% | 3.3% |
| Vanessa Lahrkamp | 15.5% | 12.3% | 10.4% | 9.8% | 11.5% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Bridget Green | 7.4% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 0.9% |
| Ella Hubbard | 2.3% | 1.9% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 8.9% | 10.2% | 12.7% | 13.3% |
| Brooke Schmelz | 4.4% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 3.3% |
| Sarah Young | 5.9% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 1.6% |
| Cordelia Burn | 6.1% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 1.3% |
| Eva Ermlich | 3.5% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 4.6% |
| Lucy Meagher | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 3.6% |
| Gianna Dewey | 1.9% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 10.2% | 14.4% | 37.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.