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📊 Prediction Accuracy
11.1%
Within 2 Positions
4.6
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University3.39+4.24vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University2.06+8.58vs Predicted
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3Yale University2.75+4.56vs Predicted
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4U. S. Naval Academy2.40+4.73vs Predicted
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5Boston College2.82+2.05vs Predicted
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6Northeastern University2.03+4.41vs Predicted
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7Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.34+6.12vs Predicted
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8Old Dominion University0.81+6.65vs Predicted
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9Brown University2.29+0.27vs Predicted
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10Georgetown University2.55-1.53vs Predicted
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11Harvard University2.47-2.32vs Predicted
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12Cornell University2.69-3.97vs Predicted
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13Tulane University2.37-4.21vs Predicted
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14College of Charleston2.04-3.99vs Predicted
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15Dartmouth College2.55-6.82vs Predicted
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16Tufts University1.62-3.84vs Predicted
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17University of Pennsylvania2.06-6.69vs Predicted
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18Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.12-8.22vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.24Stanford University3.390.1%1st Place
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10.58Roger Williams University2.060.0%1st Place
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7.56Yale University2.750.1%1st Place
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8.73U. S. Naval Academy2.400.1%1st Place
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7.05Boston College2.820.1%1st Place
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10.41Northeastern University2.030.0%1st Place
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13.12Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.340.0%1st Place
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14.65Old Dominion University0.810.0%1st Place
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9.27Brown University2.290.0%1st Place
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8.47Georgetown University2.550.1%1st Place
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8.68Harvard University2.470.1%1st Place
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8.03Cornell University2.690.1%1st Place
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8.79Tulane University2.370.1%1st Place
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10.01College of Charleston2.040.0%1st Place
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8.18Dartmouth College2.550.1%1st Place
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12.16Tufts University1.620.0%1st Place
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10.31University of Pennsylvania2.060.0%1st Place
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9.78Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.120.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vanessa Lahrkamp | 14.5% | 13.8% | 12.5% | 9.9% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Lucy Meagher | 3.7% | 2.4% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 8.9% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 4.3% |
| Carmen Cowles | 7.6% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 2.4% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Eva Blauvelt | 5.7% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 1.7% |
| Caroline Sibilly | 8.8% | 9.8% | 9.3% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Eva Ermlich | 4.2% | 3.1% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 5.3% |
| Deana Fedulova | 2.6% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 11.9% | 18.5% | 16.6% |
| Gianna Dewey | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 7.8% | 13.7% | 40.3% |
| Katharine Doble | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 2.0% |
| Piper Holthus | 7.1% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 2.4% | 0.9% |
| Cordelia Burn | 5.4% | 7.6% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 1.8% |
| Bridget Green | 7.0% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 0.8% |
| Samantha Gardner | 6.0% | 6.7% | 4.4% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 4.6% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 2.8% | 1.1% |
| Emma Tallman | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 4.7% |
| Sarah Young | 6.9% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 2.6% | 4.9% | 2.3% | 0.9% |
| Ella Hubbard | 2.3% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 9.3% | 8.4% | 12.7% | 12.0% |
| Sofia Segalla | 3.7% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 9.1% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 4.1% |
| Brooke Schmelz | 5.1% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 3.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.