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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tulane University2.37+8.15vs Predicted
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2Harvard University2.47+6.76vs Predicted
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3Brown University2.29+6.56vs Predicted
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4Yale University2.75+3.31vs Predicted
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5Roger Williams University2.06+5.19vs Predicted
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6U. S. Naval Academy2.40+2.81vs Predicted
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7University of Pennsylvania2.06+3.22vs Predicted
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8Cornell University2.69-0.44vs Predicted
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9Dartmouth College2.55-0.77vs Predicted
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10Stanford University3.39-4.79vs Predicted
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11Northeastern University2.03-0.47vs Predicted
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12Tufts University1.62+0.33vs Predicted
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13Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.12-3.19vs Predicted
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14Georgetown University2.55-6.05vs Predicted
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15College of Charleston2.04-4.76vs Predicted
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16Boston College2.82-8.80vs Predicted
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17Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.34-3.72vs Predicted
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18Old Dominion University0.81-3.35vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.15Tulane University2.370.0%1st Place
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8.76Harvard University2.470.0%1st Place
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9.56Brown University2.290.0%1st Place
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7.31Yale University2.750.1%1st Place
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10.19Roger Williams University2.060.0%1st Place
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8.81U. S. Naval Academy2.400.1%1st Place
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10.22University of Pennsylvania2.060.0%1st Place
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7.56Cornell University2.690.1%1st Place
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8.23Dartmouth College2.550.1%1st Place
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5.21Stanford University3.390.1%1st Place
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10.53Northeastern University2.030.0%1st Place
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12.33Tufts University1.620.0%1st Place
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9.81Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.120.0%1st Place
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7.95Georgetown University2.550.1%1st Place
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10.24College of Charleston2.040.0%1st Place
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7.2Boston College2.820.1%1st Place
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13.28Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.340.0%1st Place
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14.65Old Dominion University0.810.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Samantha Gardner | 4.9% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 4.1% | 1.6% |
| Cordelia Burn | 4.5% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 0.7% |
| Katharine Doble | 4.6% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 5.4% | 7.5% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 2.4% |
| Carmen Cowles | 9.3% | 9.1% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 1.0% |
| Lucy Meagher | 4.4% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 9.1% | 6.2% | 4.5% |
| Eva Blauvelt | 5.8% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 2.0% |
| Sofia Segalla | 4.5% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 5.0% |
| Bridget Green | 7.6% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 0.2% |
| Sarah Young | 5.7% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 3.1% | 2.0% | 0.8% |
| Vanessa Lahrkamp | 15.0% | 12.1% | 12.2% | 9.8% | 10.2% | 9.7% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Eva Ermlich | 4.4% | 2.9% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 2.9% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 4.9% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 5.0% |
| Ella Hubbard | 2.3% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 11.1% | 13.5% | 12.2% |
| Brooke Schmelz | 4.8% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 4.7% | 3.5% |
| Piper Holthus | 6.6% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 7.6% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 1.7% | 1.0% |
| Emma Tallman | 3.7% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 8.6% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 4.3% |
| Caroline Sibilly | 7.4% | 7.5% | 10.0% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 0.3% |
| Deana Fedulova | 2.6% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 3.0% | 1.6% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 11.5% | 16.3% | 18.9% |
| Gianna Dewey | 1.9% | 0.8% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 16.3% | 36.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.