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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Cornell University2.69+6.87vs Predicted
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2Stanford University3.39+3.17vs Predicted
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3U. S. Naval Academy2.40+6.07vs Predicted
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4Georgetown University2.55+4.08vs Predicted
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5Tulane University2.37+3.87vs Predicted
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6Yale University2.75+1.40vs Predicted
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7Northeastern University2.03+3.36vs Predicted
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8Boston College2.82-1.01vs Predicted
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9Roger Williams University2.06+1.28vs Predicted
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10Harvard University2.47-1.14vs Predicted
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11University of Pennsylvania2.06-0.63vs Predicted
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12Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.12-1.69vs Predicted
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13College of Charleston2.04-2.81vs Predicted
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14Old Dominion University0.81+0.54vs Predicted
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15Brown University2.29-5.73vs Predicted
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16Dartmouth College2.55-7.77vs Predicted
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17Tufts University1.62-4.81vs Predicted
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18Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.34-5.06vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.87Cornell University2.690.1%1st Place
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5.17Stanford University3.390.1%1st Place
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9.07U. S. Naval Academy2.400.1%1st Place
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8.08Georgetown University2.550.1%1st Place
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8.87Tulane University2.370.1%1st Place
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7.4Yale University2.750.1%1st Place
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10.36Northeastern University2.030.0%1st Place
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6.99Boston College2.820.1%1st Place
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10.28Roger Williams University2.060.0%1st Place
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8.86Harvard University2.470.1%1st Place
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10.37University of Pennsylvania2.060.0%1st Place
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10.31Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.120.0%1st Place
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10.19College of Charleston2.040.0%1st Place
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14.54Old Dominion University0.810.0%1st Place
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9.27Brown University2.290.1%1st Place
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8.23Dartmouth College2.550.1%1st Place
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12.19Tufts University1.620.0%1st Place
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12.94Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.340.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bridget Green | 7.5% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 0.8% |
| Vanessa Lahrkamp | 12.8% | 13.1% | 10.8% | 13.7% | 9.5% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Eva Blauvelt | 5.1% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 1.3% |
| Piper Holthus | 6.7% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 2.3% | 1.3% |
| Samantha Gardner | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 2.1% |
| Carmen Cowles | 8.1% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 1.2% | 0.7% |
| Eva Ermlich | 4.1% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 3.6% |
| Caroline Sibilly | 8.3% | 10.1% | 9.6% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 8.4% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.3% |
| Lucy Meagher | 3.6% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 3.3% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 6.1% | 3.3% |
| Cordelia Burn | 7.0% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 8.0% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 1.7% |
| Sofia Segalla | 4.5% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 5.4% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 4.7% |
| Brooke Schmelz | 3.9% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 4.9% |
| Emma Tallman | 4.6% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 4.8% |
| Gianna Dewey | 1.7% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 12.3% | 39.3% |
| Katharine Doble | 5.1% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 2.1% |
| Sarah Young | 5.5% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 2.3% | 1.1% |
| Ella Hubbard | 2.9% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 9.9% | 12.4% | 12.3% |
| Deana Fedulova | 2.6% | 1.8% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 11.7% | 15.1% | 15.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.