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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston2.04+9.48vs Predicted
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2Stanford University3.39+3.13vs Predicted
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3Tulane University2.37+6.23vs Predicted
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4Georgetown University2.55+4.11vs Predicted
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5Cornell University2.69+2.57vs Predicted
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6Boston College2.82+1.12vs Predicted
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7Harvard University2.47+1.57vs Predicted
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8University of Pennsylvania2.06+2.15vs Predicted
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9U. S. Naval Academy2.40-0.21vs Predicted
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10Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.12+0.32vs Predicted
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11Roger Williams University2.06-0.58vs Predicted
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12Yale University2.75-4.32vs Predicted
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13Old Dominion University0.81+1.62vs Predicted
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14Brown University2.29-4.93vs Predicted
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15Northeastern University2.03-4.68vs Predicted
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16Dartmouth College2.55-7.72vs Predicted
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17Tufts University1.62-4.79vs Predicted
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18Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.34-5.08vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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10.48College of Charleston2.040.0%1st Place
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5.13Stanford University3.390.1%1st Place
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9.23Tulane University2.370.0%1st Place
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8.11Georgetown University2.550.1%1st Place
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7.57Cornell University2.690.1%1st Place
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7.12Boston College2.820.1%1st Place
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8.57Harvard University2.470.1%1st Place
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10.15University of Pennsylvania2.060.0%1st Place
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8.79U. S. Naval Academy2.400.1%1st Place
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10.32Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.120.1%1st Place
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10.42Roger Williams University2.060.0%1st Place
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7.68Yale University2.750.1%1st Place
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14.62Old Dominion University0.810.0%1st Place
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9.07Brown University2.290.1%1st Place
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10.32Northeastern University2.030.0%1st Place
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8.28Dartmouth College2.550.1%1st Place
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12.21Tufts University1.620.0%1st Place
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12.92Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.340.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emma Tallman | 4.2% | 3.2% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 5.2% |
| Vanessa Lahrkamp | 12.9% | 13.5% | 12.9% | 11.4% | 10.8% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Samantha Gardner | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 0.9% |
| Piper Holthus | 6.1% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 1.6% |
| Bridget Green | 7.6% | 9.4% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 0.5% |
| Caroline Sibilly | 8.7% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 0.3% |
| Cordelia Burn | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 2.6% | 1.2% |
| Sofia Segalla | 3.9% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 4.4% |
| Eva Blauvelt | 5.0% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 0.8% |
| Brooke Schmelz | 5.0% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 3.5% |
| Lucy Meagher | 4.3% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 2.8% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 9.1% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 3.9% |
| Carmen Cowles | 8.0% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 0.9% | 0.5% |
| Gianna Dewey | 1.9% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 3.3% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 6.3% | 9.7% | 14.0% | 38.2% |
| Katharine Doble | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 4.1% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 2.7% |
| Eva Ermlich | 4.0% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 4.5% |
| Sarah Young | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 1.3% |
| Ella Hubbard | 3.2% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 10.2% | 8.8% | 12.7% | 13.0% |
| Deana Fedulova | 2.5% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 10.7% | 13.3% | 17.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.