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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University2.75+6.67vs Predicted
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2Georgetown University2.55+6.46vs Predicted
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3Cornell University2.69+4.78vs Predicted
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4College of Charleston2.04+6.17vs Predicted
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5Stanford University3.39+0.04vs Predicted
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6Harvard University2.47+2.55vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.12+2.96vs Predicted
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8Boston College2.82-0.98vs Predicted
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9Brown University2.29+0.23vs Predicted
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10Tulane University2.37-0.76vs Predicted
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11University of Pennsylvania2.06-0.57vs Predicted
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12Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.34+1.40vs Predicted
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13Dartmouth College2.55-4.91vs Predicted
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14Old Dominion University0.81+0.52vs Predicted
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15Northeastern University2.03-4.64vs Predicted
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16Roger Williams University2.06-5.70vs Predicted
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17Tufts University1.62-4.83vs Predicted
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18U. S. Naval Academy2.40-9.40vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.67Yale University2.750.1%1st Place
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8.46Georgetown University2.550.0%1st Place
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7.78Cornell University2.690.1%1st Place
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10.17College of Charleston2.040.0%1st Place
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5.04Stanford University3.390.2%1st Place
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8.55Harvard University2.470.1%1st Place
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9.96Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.120.0%1st Place
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7.02Boston College2.820.1%1st Place
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9.23Brown University2.290.0%1st Place
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9.24Tulane University2.370.1%1st Place
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10.43University of Pennsylvania2.060.0%1st Place
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13.4Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.340.0%1st Place
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8.09Dartmouth College2.550.1%1st Place
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14.52Old Dominion University0.810.0%1st Place
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10.36Northeastern University2.030.0%1st Place
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10.3Roger Williams University2.060.0%1st Place
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12.17Tufts University1.620.0%1st Place
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8.6U. S. Naval Academy2.400.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carmen Cowles | 7.6% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 1.2% | 0.6% |
| Piper Holthus | 4.8% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 1.2% |
| Bridget Green | 6.9% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 5.3% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.4% |
| Emma Tallman | 4.1% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 3.8% |
| Vanessa Lahrkamp | 17.1% | 15.9% | 9.8% | 9.7% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Cordelia Burn | 6.2% | 5.0% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 4.4% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 2.6% | 1.9% |
| Brooke Schmelz | 4.3% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 2.4% |
| Caroline Sibilly | 8.0% | 10.5% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.3% |
| Katharine Doble | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 2.0% |
| Samantha Gardner | 5.9% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 1.4% |
| Sofia Segalla | 4.3% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 4.9% |
| Deana Fedulova | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 10.0% | 15.6% | 22.1% |
| Sarah Young | 7.1% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 2.3% | 1.0% |
| Gianna Dewey | 1.6% | 0.7% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 6.3% | 8.7% | 12.6% | 38.4% |
| Eva Ermlich | 3.7% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 4.6% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 3.9% |
| Lucy Meagher | 3.7% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 4.5% |
| Ella Hubbard | 2.9% | 1.6% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 8.7% | 11.2% | 14.5% | 9.8% |
| Eva Blauvelt | 5.8% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 5.0% | 8.7% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 1.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.