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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University2.75+6.27vs Predicted
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2Brown University2.29+7.14vs Predicted
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3Stanford University3.39+1.96vs Predicted
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4Roger Williams University2.06+5.71vs Predicted
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5U. S. Naval Academy2.40+3.37vs Predicted
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6University of Pennsylvania2.06+3.84vs Predicted
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7Georgetown University2.55+0.89vs Predicted
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8Cornell University2.69-0.80vs Predicted
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9Tulane University2.37-0.53vs Predicted
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10Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.34+2.93vs Predicted
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11Boston College2.82-4.10vs Predicted
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12Harvard University2.47-3.53vs Predicted
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13Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.12-3.59vs Predicted
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14Northeastern University2.03-4.37vs Predicted
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15College of Charleston2.04-5.17vs Predicted
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16Tufts University1.62-4.30vs Predicted
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17Dartmouth College0.60-1.96vs Predicted
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18Old Dominion University0.81-3.77vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.27Yale University2.750.1%1st Place
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9.14Brown University2.290.0%1st Place
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4.96Stanford University3.390.1%1st Place
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9.71Roger Williams University2.060.0%1st Place
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8.37U. S. Naval Academy2.400.1%1st Place
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9.84University of Pennsylvania2.060.0%1st Place
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7.89Georgetown University2.550.1%1st Place
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7.2Cornell University2.690.1%1st Place
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8.47Tulane University2.370.1%1st Place
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12.93Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.340.0%1st Place
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6.9Boston College2.820.1%1st Place
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8.47Harvard University2.470.1%1st Place
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9.41Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.120.0%1st Place
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9.63Northeastern University2.030.0%1st Place
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9.83College of Charleston2.040.0%1st Place
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11.7Tufts University1.620.0%1st Place
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15.04Dartmouth College0.600.0%1st Place
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14.23Old Dominion University0.810.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carmen Cowles | 7.6% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 6.8% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Katharine Doble | 4.3% | 3.7% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 2.6% | 0.8% |
| Vanessa Lahrkamp | 15.0% | 13.1% | 13.5% | 10.7% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 7.9% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Lucy Meagher | 4.5% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 2.6% |
| Eva Blauvelt | 6.2% | 8.2% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 2.2% | 0.7% |
| Sofia Segalla | 4.7% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 2.9% |
| Piper Holthus | 6.8% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 0.3% |
| Bridget Green | 8.8% | 7.5% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 0.0% |
| Samantha Gardner | 5.9% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 2.1% | 0.4% |
| Deana Fedulova | 2.1% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 7.3% | 10.4% | 11.5% | 16.9% | 12.9% |
| Caroline Sibilly | 9.4% | 9.4% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 0.4% | 0.5% |
| Cordelia Burn | 6.2% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 1.2% |
| Brooke Schmelz | 4.6% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 1.4% |
| Eva Ermlich | 4.2% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 2.2% |
| Emma Tallman | 4.4% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 4.7% | 1.6% |
| Ella Hubbard | 2.5% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 4.3% | 2.3% | 3.6% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 9.2% | 11.0% | 9.8% | 7.3% |
| Ava Hurwitz | 1.2% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 9.0% | 18.0% | 38.6% |
| Gianna Dewey | 1.6% | 1.0% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 0.9% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 4.4% | 6.9% | 9.5% | 10.9% | 17.4% | 26.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.