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📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University2.55+6.98vs Predicted
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2Brown University2.29+7.08vs Predicted
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3Stanford University3.39+1.94vs Predicted
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4University of Pennsylvania2.06+5.72vs Predicted
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5Cornell University2.69+2.21vs Predicted
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6College of Charleston2.04+3.98vs Predicted
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7Yale University2.75+0.05vs Predicted
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8Tufts University1.62+3.47vs Predicted
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9Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.34+3.66vs Predicted
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10Boston College2.82-2.96vs Predicted
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11U. S. Naval Academy2.40-2.49vs Predicted
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12Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.12-2.11vs Predicted
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13Roger Williams University2.06-3.36vs Predicted
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14Harvard University2.47-6.13vs Predicted
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15Old Dominion University0.81-0.66vs Predicted
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16Tulane University2.37-7.31vs Predicted
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17Northeastern University2.03-6.96vs Predicted
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18Dartmouth College0.60-3.14vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.98Georgetown University2.550.1%1st Place
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9.08Brown University2.290.0%1st Place
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4.94Stanford University3.390.1%1st Place
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9.72University of Pennsylvania2.060.1%1st Place
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7.21Cornell University2.690.1%1st Place
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9.98College of Charleston2.040.0%1st Place
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7.05Yale University2.750.1%1st Place
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11.47Tufts University1.620.0%1st Place
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12.66Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.340.0%1st Place
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7.04Boston College2.820.1%1st Place
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8.51U. S. Naval Academy2.400.1%1st Place
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9.89Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.120.0%1st Place
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9.64Roger Williams University2.060.0%1st Place
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7.87Harvard University2.470.1%1st Place
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14.34Old Dominion University0.810.0%1st Place
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8.69Tulane University2.370.1%1st Place
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10.04Northeastern University2.030.0%1st Place
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14.86Dartmouth College0.600.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Piper Holthus | 6.4% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 1.4% | 0.6% |
| Katharine Doble | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 2.3% | 1.2% |
| Vanessa Lahrkamp | 13.6% | 14.3% | 12.7% | 12.1% | 9.4% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sofia Segalla | 5.1% | 3.8% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 2.6% |
| Bridget Green | 9.0% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 6.2% | 9.3% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| Emma Tallman | 4.8% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 2.7% |
| Carmen Cowles | 8.3% | 9.7% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.3% |
| Ella Hubbard | 3.1% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 9.1% | 10.2% | 10.9% | 6.7% |
| Deana Fedulova | 2.5% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 8.1% | 13.5% | 14.2% | 11.5% |
| Caroline Sibilly | 8.9% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 9.4% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.4% |
| Eva Blauvelt | 6.5% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 1.0% |
| Brooke Schmelz | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 3.9% | 2.6% |
| Lucy Meagher | 4.3% | 5.8% | 3.3% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 2.2% |
| Cordelia Burn | 6.5% | 6.5% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 4.6% | 8.6% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 1.0% |
| Gianna Dewey | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 9.1% | 9.7% | 19.1% | 27.0% |
| Samantha Gardner | 5.4% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 2.6% | 1.1% |
| Eva Ermlich | 4.7% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 3.4% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 5.2% | 2.2% |
| Ava Hurwitz | 1.5% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 6.7% | 10.3% | 17.2% | 36.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.